Match Info

Super League - Round 22

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Belle Vue (Wakefield)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Sportdigital1+
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+
International	Superleague+


	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats		Leeds Rhinos

	1	X	2
	2.1	21	1.8	Watch
	2.15	15	1.8
	2.17	20.12	1.77	Watch
	2.1	21	1.8
	2.1	23	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.47)	20.02 ↓ (20.24)	1.79 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
43.6%

Draw
4.6%

Leeds Rhinos
51.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

4.6%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

4.6%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wakefield Trinity Wildcats's performance.

Leeds Rhinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leeds Rhinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wakefield Trinity Wildcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds Rhinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Scott C.	1. Miller L.
4. Hall C.	3. Newman H.
5. Johnstone T.	4. Handley A. (C)
6. Trueman J.	6. Croft B.
8. McMeeken M.	7. Connor J.
9. Smoothy T.	8. Oledzki M.
10. Rodwell K.	9. O'Connor J.
13. Tevaga J.	11. Watkins K.
18. Vagana I.	12. McDonnell J.
20. Sinfield J.	14. Hankinson C.
21. Myers J.	15. Jenkins C.
23. Rourke J.	21. Edgell A.
24. Lolesio T.	33. Bird J.
Substitutes
12. Storton M.	10. Holroyd T.
14. Pitts J.	17. Smith C.
15. Hamlin-Uele C.	20. Cassell P.
16. Faatili C.	28. McCormack F.
17. Smith H.	30. Lloyd Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (16 - 6)
21', Vagana I. (Try),
22', Sinfield J. (Conversion Goal),
24', Hamlin-Uele C. (Try),
25', Sinfield J. (Conversion Goal),
29', Myers J. (Try),
37', Croft B. (Try),
38', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 18)
43', Sinfield J. (Try),
44', Sinfield J. (Conversion Goal),
51', McDonnell J. (Try),
52', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
54', Smith C. (Try),
56', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
77', Hankinson C. (Try),
78', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 3.

Wakefield has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Leeds is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leeds will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 361:399. (average 18.1:20).

Including home matches between the teams, Wakefield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 203:216. (average 18.5:19.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
Super League Rugby
01.08.26	Catalans Dragons - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	12:32 ✺
24.07.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Castleford Tigers	52:14 ✺
16.07.26	Bradford Bulls - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	12:26 ✺
11.07.26	Hull Kingston Rovers - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	6:20 ✺
05.07.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Castleford Tigers	48:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Leeds Rhinos
Super League Rugby
31.07.26	Leeds Rhinos - Toulouse Olympique	46:0 ✺
26.07.26	Leeds Rhinos - Bradford Bulls	42:12 ✺
19.07.26	Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos	36:34 ✺
11.07.26	Catalans Dragons - Leeds Rhinos	6:28 ✺
05.07.26	Leeds Rhinos - Bradford Bulls	50:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
01.05.26	Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	40:22
Challenge Cup Rugby League
13.03.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos	24:14
Super League Rugby
24.07.25	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos	15:14
31.05.25	Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	22:18
15.02.25	Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	12:14
11.06.23	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos	24:14
10.03.23	Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	26:0

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide