Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Super League - Round 22
  • Date: 7 August 2026, Friday
  • Location: Belle Vue (Wakefield)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    germanyGermanySportdigital1+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+
    worldWorldSuperleague+
    Wakefield Trinity Wildcats Leeds Rhinos
    Wakefield Trinity Wildcats Leeds Rhinos
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.1 21 1.8 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
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    GGBet 2.17 20.12 1.77 Watch and Bet Watch
    BetNow 2.1 21 1.8
    Bovada 2.1 23 1.79
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.47)
    20.02
    (20.24)
    1.79
    (1.61)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

    • The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
    43.6%
    Draw
    4.6%
    Leeds Rhinos
    51.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    37.6% 4.6% 57.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    37.8% 4.6% 57.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wakefield Trinity Wildcats's performance.
  • Leeds Rhinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leeds Rhinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wakefield Trinity Wildcats that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds Rhinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:23
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      3. EnglandScott C.
      1. AustraliaMiller L.
      4. EnglandHall C.
      3. EnglandNewman H.
      5. EnglandJohnstone T.
      4. EnglandHandley A. (C)
      6. EnglandTrueman J.
      6. AustraliaCroft B.
      8. EnglandMcMeeken M.
      7. EnglandConnor J.
      9. AustraliaSmoothy T.
      8. EnglandOledzki M.
    10. AustraliaRodwell K.
      9. EnglandO'Connor J.
    13. SamoaTevaga J.
    11. EnglandWatkins K.
    18. AustraliaVagana I.
    12. IrelandMcDonnell J.
    20. EnglandSinfield J.
    14. EnglandHankinson C.
    21. EnglandMyers J.
    15. AustraliaJenkins C.
    23. EnglandRourke J.
    21. EnglandEdgell A.
    24. NewLolesio T.
    33. AustraliaBird J.
    Substitutes
    12. EnglandStorton M.
    10. EnglandHolroyd T.
    14. EnglandPitts J.
    17. EnglandSmith C.
    15. AustraliaHamlin-Uele C.
    20. EnglandCassell P.
    16. AustraliaFaatili C.
    28. EnglandMcCormack F.
    17. EnglandSmith H.
    30. EnglandLloyd Z.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (16 - 6)
    • 21', Vagana I. (Try),
    • 22', Sinfield J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 24', Hamlin-Uele C. (Try),
    • 25', Sinfield J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 29', Myers J. (Try),
    • 37', Croft B. (Try),
    • 38', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 2nd Half (6 - 18)
    • 43', Sinfield J. (Try),
    • 44', Sinfield J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 51', McDonnell J. (Try),
    • 52', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 54', Smith C. (Try),
    • 56', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
    • 77', Hankinson C. (Try),
    • 78', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),

    Preview

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 3.
  • Wakefield has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Leeds is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Leeds will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 361:399. (average 18.1:20).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Wakefield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 203:216. (average 18.5:19.6).
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    Standings

    PlWWDLLPts
    1Leeds23180005784:34636
    4Wakefield23160007625:42232

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
    Super League Rugby
    01.08.26 Catalans Dragons - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 12:32
    24.07.26 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Castleford Tigers 52:14
    16.07.26 Bradford Bulls - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 12:26
    11.07.26 Hull Kingston Rovers - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 6:20
    05.07.26 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Castleford Tigers 48:6
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5
    WWWWW
    - Leeds Rhinos
    Super League Rugby
    31.07.26 Leeds Rhinos - Toulouse Olympique 46:0
    26.07.26 Leeds Rhinos - Bradford Bulls 42:12
    19.07.26 Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos 36:34
    11.07.26 Catalans Dragons - Leeds Rhinos 6:28
    05.07.26 Leeds Rhinos - Bradford Bulls 50:16
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3
    WWLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Super League Rugby
    01.05.26 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 40:22
    Challenge Cup Rugby League
    13.03.26 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos 24:14
    Super League Rugby
    24.07.25 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos 15:14
    31.05.25 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 22:18
    15.02.25 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 12:14
    11.06.23 Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos 24:14
    10.03.23 Leeds Rhinos - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 26:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
    Super League Rugby
    21.08.26 Wigan Warriors - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
    - Leeds Rhinos
    Super League Rugby
    23.08.26 York City Knights - Leeds Rhinos