Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 6
Colombia	ESPN 3
Japan	J sports 3
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	ESPN 3
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action


	Argentina		Australia

	1	X	2
	2.63	21	1.53
	2.45	22	1.57
	2.5	19	1.5	Watch
	2.7	28	1.47
	2.65	23	1.51
	2.6	27	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.26)	23.33 ↑ (18)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentina
35.3%

Draw
3.9%

Australia
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

5.1%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentina's form might have worsened.

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Australia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Argentina - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Argentina will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Australia will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:31

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wenger B.	1. Bell A.
2. Ruiz I.	2. Pollard B.
3. Delgado P.	3. Tupou T.
4. Elias E.	4. Canham J.
5. Molina F.	5. Williams J.
6. Matera P.	6. Valetini R.
7. Petti G.	7. Mcreight F.
8. Moro J.	8. Wilson H.
9. Benitez Cruz S.	9. Lonergan R.
10. Roger N.	10. Donaldson B.
11. Mendy I.	11. Daugunu F.
12. Sanchez F.	12. Ikitau L.
13. Cinti L.	13. Sua'ali'i J.
14. Isgro R.	14. Jorgensen M.
15. Carreras S.	15. Wright T.
Substitutes
16. Oviedo L.	16. Nasser J.
17. Vivas M.	17. Ross A.
18. Moreno F.	18. De Lutiis M.
19. Lavanini T.	19. Salakaia-Loto L.
20. Scelzo J. M.	20. Cale C.
21. Cardozo F.	21. Thomas K.
22. Bertranou G.	22. Gordon C.
23. Soler M.	23. Henry I.
Coaches
. Contepomi F.	. Kiss L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 14)
20', Wilson H. (Try),
21', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
27', Molina F. 🟨,
28', Jorgensen M. (Try),
29', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
33', Williams J. 🟨,
36', Matera P. (Try),
36', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
39', Mendy I. (Try),
40', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 14)
47', Mcreight F. (Try),
48', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
55', Ruiz I. (Try),
55', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
64', Matera P. (Try),
65', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
68', Cinti L. 🟨,
70', Carreras S. 🟨,
73', (Penalty Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 2.

Australia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Australia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 486:567. (average 24.3:28.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentina rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
29.08.26	Argentina - Australia	21:27 ✺
08.08.26	Argentina - South Africa	10:17 ✺
Nations Championship Rugby
18.07.26	Argentina - England	24:31 ✺
11.07.26	Argentina - Wales	35:21 ✺
04.07.26	Argentina - Scotland	38:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Australia rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
29.08.26	Argentina - Australia	21:27 ✺
15.08.26	Australia - Japan	56:17 ✺
08.08.26	Japan - Australia	32:35 ✺
Nations Championship Rugby
18.07.26	Australia - Italy	57:10 ✺
11.07.26	Australia - France	26:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
29.08.26	Argentina - Australia	21:27
Rugby Championship
13.09.25	Australia - Argentina	26:28
06.09.25	Australia - Argentina	28:24
07.09.24	Argentina - Australia	67:27
31.08.24	Argentina - Australia	19:20
15.07.23	Australia - Argentina	31:34
13.08.22	Argentina - Australia	48:17

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