Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 2Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Movistar Deportes |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Spain | M+ Deportes, Movistar Plus+ |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
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 |
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Australia |
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France |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.00 |
|
1.36 |
|
 |
3.4 |
18 |
1.35 |
|
 |
3.46 |
22.9 |
1.36 |
Watch |
 |
3.35 |
35 |
1.32 |
|
 |
3.4 |
21 |
1.35 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.32 ↓ (3.43) |
19.38 ↓ (23.13) |
1.35 ↓ (1.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Australia 27.5% | Draw 4.7% | France 67.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Australia - France Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:36 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Bell A.
| 1. Alo-Emile M.
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2. Nasser J.
| 2. Mauvaka P.
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3. Alaalatoa A.
| 3. Bamba D.
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4. Canham J.
| 4. Verhaeghe F.
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5. Williams J.
| 5. Meafou E.
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6. Valetini R.
| 6. Nouchi L.
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7. Mcreight F.
| 7. Jegou O.
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8. Wilson H. (C)
| 8. Gazzotti M.
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9. Lonergan R.
| 9. Lucu M. (C)
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10. Meredith D.
| 10. Ntamack R.
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11. Pietsch D.
| 11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
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12. Ikitau L.
| 12. Moefana Y.
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13. Sua'ali'i J.
| 13. Brau-Boirie F.
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14. Jorgensen M.
| 14. Attissogbe T.
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15. Wright T.
| 15. Jalibert M.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Paenga-Amosa B.
| 16. Lamothe M.
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17. Slipper J.
| 17. Poirot J.
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18. Tupou T.
| 18. Tatafu T.
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19. Shaw L.
| 19. Auradou H.
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20. Champion de Crespigny R.
| 20. Staniforth T.
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21. McDermott T.
| 21. Tixeront K.
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22. Campbell J.
| 22. Le Garrec N.
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23. Daugunu F.
| 23. Gourgues K.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Schmidt J.
| . Galthie F.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 12)
- 2', Meafou E. (Try),
- 3', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
- 3', Nasser J. ↓, Paenga-Amosa B. ↑,
- 9', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
- 10', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
- 18', Lucu M. (Missed Conversion),
- 24', Meafou E. 🟨,
- 26', Mcreight F. (Try),
- 27', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Mcreight F. (Try),
- 34', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (5 - 30)
- 45', Jegou O. ↓, Tixeront K. ↑,
- 45', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
- 45', Bamba D. ↓, Tatafu T. ↑,
- 45', Mauvaka P. ↓, Lamothe M. ↑,
- 45', Alo-Emile M. ↓, Poirot J. ↑,
- 47', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 49', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
- 50', Lucu M. (Missed Conversion),
- 50', Wright T. 🟨,
- 51', Bell A. ↓, Slipper J. ↑,
- 51', Canham J. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
- 52', Ntamack R. (Try),
- 52', Meafou E. ↓, Staniforth T. ↑,
- 53', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Verhaeghe F. (Try),
- 57', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Lonergan R. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 58', Meredith D. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
- 60', Valetini R. ↓, Champion de Crespigny R. ↑,
- 62', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', Lucu M. ↓, Le Garrec N. ↑,
- 69', Moefana Y. ↓, Gourgues K. ↑,
- 71', Verhaeghe F. ↓, Auradou H. ↑,
- 72', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 73', Ntamack R. (Missed Conversion),
- 73', Ikitau L. ↓, Daugunu F. ↑,
- 76', Williams J. (Try),
- 76', Campbell J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 1. In this match, France is the team to beat.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Australia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 307:286. (average 27.9:26).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 22.11.25 | France - Australia | 48:33 | | 27.08.23 | France - Australia | 41:17 | | 05.11.22 | France - Australia | 30:29 | | 17.07.21 | Australia - France | 33:30 | | 13.07.21 | Australia - France | 26:28 | | 07.07.21 | Australia - France | 23:21 | | 19.11.16 | France - Australia | 23:25 |
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