Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 3Date: 18 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: HBF Park (Perth)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport Uno |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Sport 3 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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 |
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Australia |
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Italy |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.13 |
22 |
6.3 |
|
 |
1.12 |
31.39 |
7.08 |
Watch |
 |
1.09 |
31.49 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.11 |
40 |
6.4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.11 ↓ (1.12) |
31.22 ↓ (34.52) |
6.32 ↓ (6.99) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Australia 82.5% | Draw 2.9% | Italy 14.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Australia - Italy Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Bell A.
| 1. Hasa M.
|
2. Paenga-Amosa B.
| 2. Lucchesi G.
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3. Alaalatoa A.
| 3. Riccioni M.
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4. Canham J.
| 4. Marini G.
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5. Williams J.
| 5. Ruzza F.
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6. Valetini R.
| 6. Favretto R.
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7. Tizzano C.
| 7. Lamaro M. (C)
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8. Wilson H. (C)
| 8. Vintcent R.
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9. Lonergan R.
| 9. Garbisi A.
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10. Meredith D.
| 10. Garbisi P.
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11. Potter H.
| 11. Ioane M.
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12. Ikitau L.
| 12. Odogwu P.
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13. Sua'ali'i J.
| 13. Brex N.
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14. Jorgensen M.
| 14. Lynagh L.
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15. Wright T.
| 15. Pani L.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Pollard B.
| 16. Dimcheff P.
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17. Slipper J.
| 17. Fischetti D.
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18. Nonggorr Z.
| 18. Neculai I.
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19. Amatosero M.
| 19. Zambonin A.
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20. Mcreight F.
| 20. Ortombina A.
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21. McDermott T.
| 21. Fusco A.
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22. Donaldson B.
| 22. Da Re G.
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23. Daugunu F.
| 23. Marin L.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Schmidt J.
| . Quesada G.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (38 - 5)
- 3', Canham J. (Try),
- 4', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
- 8', Wright T. (Try),
- 9', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
- 12', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Lamaro M. (Try),
- 20', Garbisi P. (Missed Conversion),
- 27', Canham J. (Try),
- 28', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
- 31', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
- 32', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Ikitau L. (Try),
- 40', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 5)
- 41', Ioane M. (Try),
- 43', Garbisi P. (Missed Conversion),
- 46', Lamaro M. ↓, Ortombina A. ↑,
- 46', Hasa M. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
- 52', Canham J. (Try),
- 53', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Bell A. ↓, Slipper J. ↑,
- 53', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
- 54', Lucchesi G. ↓, Dimcheff P. ↑,
- 54', Garbisi P. ↓, Da Re G. ↑,
- 54', Garbisi A. ↓, Fusco A. ↑,
- 54', Riccioni M. ↓, Neculai I. ↑,
- 58', Williams J. ↓, Amatosero M. ↑,
- 58', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Pollard B. ↑,
- 58', Ruzza F. ↓, Zambonin A. ↑,
- 59', Lonergan R. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 64', Pollard B. (Try),
- 65', Meredith D. (Missed Conversion),
- 65', Pani L. ↓, Marin L. ↑,
- 65', Meredith D. ↓, Donaldson B. ↑,
- 66', Riccioni M. 🟥,
- 67', Ikitau L. ↓, Daugunu F. ↑,
- 71', Slipper J. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
- 80', Donaldson B. (Try),
- 80', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 3. In this match, Australia is the undeniable favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Australia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 184:127. (average 30.7:21.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 08.11.25 | Italy - Australia | 26:19 | | 12.11.22 | Italy - Australia | 28:27 | | 17.11.18 | Italy - Australia | 7:26 | | 24.06.17 | Australia - Italy | 40:27 | | 09.11.13 | Italy - Australia | 20:50 | | 24.11.12 | Italy - Australia | 19:22 |
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