Match Info
NPC - Round 7Date: 11 September 2026, Friday ๐ Finished Location: Eden Park (Auckland) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 12:05 | Stan Sport |
 New Zealand | 14:05 | Sky Sport 1 |
 International | 02:05 | RugbyPass TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Auckland |
|
Counties Manukau |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.43 |
27 |
2.85 |
|
 |
1.4 |
23 |
2.8 |
 Watch |
 |
1.38 |
24 |
2.65 |
|
 |
1.48 |
29 |
2.74 |
|
 |
1.43 |
27 |
2.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.46) |
26 ↓
(29) |
2.78 ↓
(2.82) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Auckland
63.8% | Draw
3.5% | Counties Manukau
32.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:The chances for Auckland have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Counties Manukau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auckland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Counties Manukau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Auckland - Counties Manukau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:29 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 7)
- 2nd Half (24 - 26)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2.Auckland has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Counties Manukau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Auckland will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 212:222. (average 23.6:24.7).Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 93:87. (average 23.3:21.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 19.09.25 | Counties Manukau - Auckland | 49:28 | | 14.09.19 | Counties Manukau - Auckland | 13:28 | | 18.08.18 | Auckland - Counties Manukau | 23:19 | | 19.08.17 | Counties Manukau - Auckland | 16:14 | | 17.09.16 | Auckland - Counties Manukau | 26:30 | | 10.10.15 | Counties Manukau - Auckland | 16:31 | | 08.10.14 | Counties Manukau - Auckland | 41:18 |
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