Match Info
NPC - Round 6Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Navigation Homes Stadium (Pukekohe) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 12:05 | Stan Sport |
 International | 02:05 | RugbyPass TV |
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 |
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Counties Manukau |
|
Southland |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.59 |
26 |
2.38 |
|
 |
1.57 |
21 |
2.3 |
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
23 |
2.25 |
|
 |
1.59 |
21 |
2.41 |
|
 |
1.59 |
26 |
2.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.76) |
23.4 ↓
(27) |
2.34 ↑
(2.11) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Counties Manukau
57.5% | Draw
3.9% | Southland
38.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Southland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Counties Manukau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southland than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Counties Manukau - Southland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 5)
- 2nd Half (28 - 19)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 3.Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Southland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Counties Manukau will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 308:194. (average 34.2:21.6).Including home matches between the teams, Counties Manukau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 137:76. (average 34.3:19).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 14.09.25 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 10:64 | | 09.09.23 | Counties Manukau - Southland | 39:29 | | 24.09.22 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 30:26 | | 13.11.20 | Counties Manukau - Southland | 25:17 | | 21.09.19 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 42:14 | | 07.09.18 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 26:43 | | 03.10.14 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 10:24 |
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