The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aviron Bayonnais 93.2%
Draw 2.1%
Montauban 4.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
95.1%
1.9%
3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 48:14
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bordelai A.
1. Bue T.
2. Martin L.
2. Greyling R.
3. Setiano E.
3. Sordoni L.
4. Iturria A. (C)
4. Bitz C.
5. Paulos L.
5. Kanika N.
6. Bruni R.
6. Fifita V.
7. Heguy B.
7. Ringuet K.
8. Leota R.
8. Viiga T. (C)
9. Germain B.
9. Zabalza H.
10. Segonds J.
10. Bosviel J.
11. Carreras M.
11. Vallee P.
12. Tuilagi M.
12. Jackson J.
13. Maqala S.
13. Espeut M.
14. Spring T.
14. Ahmed S.
15. Orabe Y.
15. Mouchous B.
Substitutes
16. Giudicelli V.
16. Firmin K.
17. Gonzalez H.
17. Aouf L.
18. Johnson E.
18. Moreaux V.
19. Fischer A.
19. Uanivi T.
20. Capilla E.
20. Notshe S.
21. Tilloles B.
21. Powell J.
22. Tiberghien C.
22. Mathy M.
23. Fepulea'i M.
23. Simutoga V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (28 - 0)
3', Martin L. (Try),
4', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Martin L. (Try),
17', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
29', Spring T. (Try),
30', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
37', Tuilagi M. (Try),
37', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 7)
41', Carreras M. (Try),
42', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
56', Maqala S. (Try),
57', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
57', Capilla E. 🟨,
62', Greyling R. 🟨,
62', Maqala S. 🟨,
74', Germain B. (Try),
75', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
77', Ahmed S. (Try),
78', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 5.
In recent matches, Bayonne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Montauban's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Bayonne is the clear favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bayonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 190:145. (average 23.8:18.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bayonne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 109:54. (average 27.3:13.5).