Match Info

Top 14 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	La Rochelle		Montauban

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	21
	1.01	30	15
	1.01	50	31
	1.06	20	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.06)	37.75 ↑ (19.5)	19.5 ↑ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-39)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
92.6%

Draw
2.5%

Montauban
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.6%

4.7%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

La Rochelle - Montauban Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Rochelle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +34.5 - Montauban (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. La Rochelle (votes: 1 - 50%). Montauban (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 54:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaddouri A.	1. Seyrolle L.
2. Bourgarit P.	2. Maurouard J.
3. Sorin K.	3. Simutoga V.
4. Lavault T.	4. Bitz C.
5. Kante-Samba C.	5. Bean L.
6. Jegou O.	6. Quercy F.
7. Botia L.	7. Ringuet K.
8. Haddad M.	8. Notshe S.
9. Berjon T.	9. Castel M.
10. West I.	10. Mouchous B.
11. Bollengier N.	11. Vallee P.
12. Daunivucu S.	12. Renda S.
13. Seuteni U.	13. Jackson J.
14. Nowell J.	14. Vici J.
15. Niniashvili D.	15. Larregain T.
Substitutes
16. Latu S.	16. Firmin K.
17. Wardi R.	17. Aouf L.
18. Boudehent P.	18. Maafu N.
19. Alldritt G.	19. Uanivi T.
20. Bosmorin H.	20. Coularis C.
21. Jurd D.	21. Powell J.
22. Lagivala S.	22. Mathy M.
23. Kuntelia A.	23. Pomponio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 0)
13', Nowell J. (Try),
13', West I. (Conversion Goal),
22', Lavault T. (Try),
22', West I. (Conversion Goal),
33', Quercy F. 🟨,
35', (Penalty Try),
38', Botia L. (Try),
40', West I. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 19)
43', Lagivala S. (Try),
43', West I. (Conversion Goal),
46', West I. (Try),
46', West I. (Conversion Goal),
51', Ringuet K. (Try),
52', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),
60', Bosmorin H. (Try),
62', Vallee P. (Try),
68', Botia L. (Try),
68', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),
72', Vallee P. (Try),
72', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation)).

La Rochelle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montauban has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, La Rochelle is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
French Top 14
11.10.25	Stade Français - La Rochelle	26:24 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - La Rochelle	37:13 ✺
27.09.25	La Rochelle - Perpignan	31:8 ✺
13.09.25	La Rochelle - Clermont	27:16 ✺
06.09.25	Bordeaux Bègles - La Rochelle	23:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL
- US Montauban
French Top 14
11.10.25	Montauban - Castres	28:32 ✺
04.10.25	Clermont - Montauban	84:31 ✺
27.09.25	Montauban - Montpellier	22:22 ✺
20.09.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Montauban	71:24 ✺
13.09.25	Montauban - Lyon	18:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL

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