Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 27

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Béziers		Provence Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.58	23	2.41
	1.64	20.32	2.39
	1.62	21	2.38
	1.59	17	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	20.46 ↑ (18.67)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Béziers
57.5%

Draw
4.5%

Provence Rugby
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

4.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

4.7%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Béziers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Béziers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Béziers (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Béziers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 10)
2nd Half (10 - 21)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Béziers won 1.

In recent matches, Béziers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Provence Rugby is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Béziers will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Béziers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 388:354. (average 22.8:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Béziers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 205:139. (average 25.6:17.4).

Outrights of French Pro D2 for now

Provence Rugby: 35.28% Beziers: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Provence Rugby	6	6	0	0	188:134	25
14	Beziers	6	2	0	4	123:215	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Béziers
French Pro D2
10.04.26	Vannes - Béziers	71:0 ✺
03.04.26	Nevers - Béziers	44:41 ✺
27.03.26	Béziers - Agen	32:13 ✺
06.03.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	41:24 ✺
27.02.26	Béziers - Oyonnax Rugby	16:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
10.04.26	Provence Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	42:33 ✺
03.04.26	Brive - Provence Rugby	53:13 ✺
26.03.26	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	20:25 ✺
06.03.26	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	26:18 ✺
27.02.26	Provence Rugby - Agen	22:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
12.12.25	Provence Rugby - Béziers	38:18
11.04.25	Provence Rugby - Béziers	31:20
20.09.24	Béziers - Provence Rugby	39:20
18.01.24	Béziers - Provence Rugby	17:18
19.10.23	Provence Rugby - Béziers	20:17
27.01.23	Provence Rugby - Béziers	25:44
04.11.22	Béziers - Provence Rugby	29:30

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