Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 26

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Provence Rugby		Mont-De-Marsan

	1	X	2
	1.03	51	11
	1.04	45	9.8
	1.04	37.75	11.5	Watch
	1.04	41	9.5
	1.05	34	9.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.03)	41.75 ↑ (38.93)	10.34 ↓ (13.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
88.9%

Draw
2.2%

Mont-De-Marsan
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.5%

2.4%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mont-De-Marsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (35 - 12)
2nd Half (7 - 21)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 3.

Provence Rugby has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mont-De-Marsan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mont-De-Marsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Provence Rugby is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Mont-De-Marsan will win today's game, with odds of 11.84.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 427:346. (average 25.1:20.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence Rugby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 206:151. (average 25.8:18.9).

Outrights of French Pro D2 for now

Provence Rugby: 35.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Provence Rugby	6	6	0	0	188:134	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
03.04.26	Brive - Provence Rugby	53:13 ✺
26.03.26	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	20:25 ✺
06.03.26	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	26:18 ✺
27.02.26	Provence Rugby - Agen	22:24 ✺
20.02.26	US Dax - Provence Rugby	33:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
03.04.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Stade Aurillacois	35:25 ✺
27.03.26	Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan	28:29 ✺
06.03.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	41:24 ✺
27.02.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Biarritz	34:16 ✺
20.02.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	73:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
19.12.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	25:23
13.02.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	37:44
01.11.24	Provence Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	45:30
18.04.24	Provence Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	46:22
17.11.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	20:18
03.02.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	12:28
17.11.22	Provence Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	20:19

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