The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benetton Treviso 40.7%
Draw 4.3%
Ulster 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
4.5%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
4.4%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benetton Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benetton Treviso's form might have worsened.
Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulster's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benetton Treviso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.3%
0%
94.7%
Benetton Treviso - Ulster Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ulster will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gallo T.
1. Boyd J.
2. Maile S.
2. Herring R.
3. Zilocchi G.
3. O'Toole T.
4. Marini G.
4. O'Connor A.
5. Snyman E.
5. Izuchukwu C.
6. Izekor A.
6. Rea M.
7. Zuliani M.
7. Timoney N.
8. Halafihi T.
8. McCann D.
9. Uren A.
9. Doak N.
10. Albornoz T.
10. Morgan A.
11. Gallagher M.
11. Stockdale J.
12. Zanon M.
12. McCloskey S.
13. Fekitoa M.
13. Hume J.
14. Mendy I.
14. Lowry M.
15. Smith R.
15. Moore S.
Substitutes
16. Bernasconi B.
16. Andrew J.
17. Spagnolo M.
17. O'Connor B.
18. Pasquali T.
18. Wilson S.
19. Favretto R.
19. Treadwell K.
20. Koroiyadi S.
20. Crothers R.
21. Kingi J.
21. Shanahan D.
22. Casilio N.
22. Flannery J.
23. Marin L.
23. Postlethwaite J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (17 - 19)
3', Doak N. (Try),
3', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
11', Gallagher M. (Try),
12', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
16', Lowry M. (Try),
17', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
25', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
29', Stockdale J. (Try),
38', Mendy I. (Try),
39', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 0)
43', McCann D. 🟨,
56', Timoney N. 🟨,
57', Albornoz T. (Penalty Goal),
63', Moore S. 🟨,
64', Bernasconi B. (Try),
65', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
80', Izekor A. (Try),
80+1', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Benetton won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Ulster will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Benetton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 278:552 (average 13.9:27.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Benetton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 114:192 (average 12.7:21.3).