Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 10

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Ravenhill Stadium (Belfast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	FloSports app


	Ulster		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1.01	41	15
	1.03	26	14
	1.02	45	14.5	Watch
	1.01	67	17
	1.01	18.7	27	Watch
	1.03	26	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.04)	39.24 ↓ (44.87)	16.93 ↑ (11.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulster
92.1%

Draw
2.4%

Zebre
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.9%

2.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ulster - Zebre Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:12

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Lowry M.	. Paea
1. O’Sullivan E.	2. Bigi L.
2. McLoughlin L.	4. Nasove R.
3. Wilson S.	5. Canali M.
7. Timoney N.	10. Montemauri G.
8. McCann D.	11. Gregory S.
10. Murphy J.	12. Mazza D.
11. Ward Z.	15. Da Re G.
12. Postlethwaite J.	17. Buonfiglio P.
13. Carson B.	18. Hasa M.
15. Moore S.	19. Krumov L.
16. Stewart T.	20. Stavile B.
19. Treadwell K.	21. Garcia G.
20. Sheridan H.	22. Licata G.
21. Cooney J.	23. Gesi A.
Substitutes
. Andrew J.	. Brisighella S.
. Rea M.	. Franceschetto L.
4. O'Connor A.	. Morisi L.
9. Doak N.	. Quattrini G.
17. Reid C.	3. Pitinari J.
18. Barrett C.	6. Andreani L.
22. Flannery J.	8. Ferrari G.
23. Lyttle R.	9. Dominguez T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
29', Montemauri G. (Penalty Goal),
33', Stavile B. 🟨,
2nd Half (14 - 12)
47', Stavile B. (Try),
50', Da Re G. (Try),
51', Montemauri G. (Conversion Goal),
57', Barrett C. (Try),
57', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
76', Barrett C. (Try),
77', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulster won 5.

Recent matches Ulster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zebre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ulster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ulster is indisputable favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Ulster won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 628:238 (average 34.9:13.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ulster won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 333:75 (average 37:8.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.25	Ulster - Exeter Chiefs	52:24 ✺
11.01.25	Leicester Tigers - Ulster	38:10 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.12.24	Connacht - Ulster	7:17 ✺
20.12.24	Ulster - Munster	19:22 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.24	Ulster - Bordeaux Bègles	19:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL
- Zebre Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
19.01.25	Zebre - Perpignan	21:39 ✺
12.01.25	Cheetahs - Zebre	22:18 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.12.24	Zebre - Benetton Treviso	12:24 ✺
21.12.24	Benetton Treviso - Zebre	11:10 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.24	Zebre - Lyon	19:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
21.10.23	Zebre - Ulster	36:40
25.11.22	Ulster - Zebre	36:15
02.10.21	Zebre - Ulster	3:36
19.03.21	Ulster - Zebre	49:3
16.11.20	Zebre - Ulster	14:57
01.11.19	Ulster - Zebre	22:7
23.02.19	Ulster - Zebre	54:7

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