Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Ravenhill Stadium (Belfast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Ulster		Munster

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.63
	1.49	22	2.7
	1.49	20.7	2.78	Watch
	1.46	21	2.55
	1.51	19	2.81
	1.49	22	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	20.95 ↑ (20.7)	2.7 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulster
61.5%

Draw
4.4%

Munster
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

4.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 1.

Munster may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ulster is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ulster has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 394:461 (averaging 19.7:23.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ulster against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 231:151 goals (averaging 23.1:15.1 per game).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Munster: 4.4% Ulster: 3.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Munster	2	1	0	1	46:48	6
12	Ulster	2	0	1	1	62:67	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.10.26	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	33:33 ✺
25.09.26	Ulster - Edinburgh	29:34 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
22.05.26	Montpellier - Ulster	59:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26 ✺
08.05.26	Ulster - Stormers	38:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLT
- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.10.26	Munster - Blue Bulls	26:22 ✺
26.09.26	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	20:26 ✺
30.05.26	Blue Bulls - Munster	45:14 ✺
16.05.26	Munster - Lions	24:17 ✺
09.05.26	Connacht - Munster	26:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
25.04.26	Munster - Ulster	41:14
02.01.26	Ulster - Munster	28:3
09.05.25	Munster - Ulster	38:20
20.12.24	Ulster - Munster	19:22
01.06.24	Munster - Ulster	29:24
10.11.23	Ulster - Munster	21:14
01.01.23	Ulster - Munster	14:15

Ulster - Munster: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide