Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 8Date: 27 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
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Connacht |
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Ulster |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.5 |
21 |
1.57 |
|
 |
2.49 |
22 |
1.55 |
|
 |
2.64 |
20.63 |
1.55 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
21 |
1.53 |
|
 |
2.63 |
50 |
1.45 |
|
 |
2.5 |
21 |
1.58 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(1.77) |
25.94 ↑
(20.12) |
1.54 ↓
(2.17) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Connacht
36.1% | Draw
3.6% | Ulster
60.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Connacht's form might have worsened.Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulster's recent form is better than expected.Connacht - Ulster Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulster (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2.5 - Ulster (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulster (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 12)
- 2nd Half (14 - 17)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2.Connacht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 384:439. (average 19.2:22).Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 225:175. (average 25:19.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 28.12.24 | Connacht - Ulster | 7:17 | | 12.10.24 | Ulster - Connacht | 32:24 | | 22.12.23 | Ulster - Connacht | 20:19 | | 04.11.23 | Connacht - Ulster | 22:20 | | 05.05.23 | Ulster - Connacht | 10:15 | | 23.12.22 | Connacht - Ulster | 20:22 | | 17.09.22 | Ulster - Connacht | 36:10 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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