Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 4


	Black Lion		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	2.38	21	1.62
	2.1	21	1.73
	2.19	22	1.72
	2.22	23.99	1.73
	2.2	23	1.67
	2.26	18	1.69
	2.24	20	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.61)	21.28 ↑ (20.43)	1.7 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Black Lion
41.4%

Draw
4.3%

Aviron Bayonnais
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

4.5%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Black Lion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Black Lion's performance.

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aviron Bayonnais might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Black Lion - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: Aviron Bayonnais will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:25

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abdushelishvili D.	1. Villar M. L.
2. Mamukashvili S.	2. van Jaarsveld T.
3. Chkhartishvili G.	3. Scholtz P.
4. Babunashvili M.	4. Marchois D.
5. Ganiashvili G.	5. Poloniati S.
6. Mamamtavrishvili S.	6. Bruni R.
7. Gachechiladze M.	7. Heguy B. (C)
8. Ivanishvili L.	8. Ariceta M.
9. Peranidze T.	9. Germain B.
10. Matkava L.	10. Spring T.
11. Shvangiradze A.	11. Megdoud N.
12. Kakhoidze T.	12. Martocq G.
13. Tapladze D.	13. Erbinartegaray A.
14. Tabutsadze A.	14. Hannoun V.
15. Tsirekidze L.	15. Mousques X.
Substitutes
16. Kvatadze I.	16. Martin L.
17. Khatiashvili N.	17. Cormenier S.
18. Tchumbadze B.	18. Cotet P.
19. Chachanidze L.	19. Paulos L.
20. Sinauridze G.	20. Traversier N.
21. Khuroshvili D.	21. Tilloles B. J.
22. Metreveli I.	22. Lapegue Lafaye G.
23. Todua A.	23. Tiberghien C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (16 - 17)
3', Matkava L. (Penalty Goal),
7', Matkava L. (Penalty Goal),
12', Heguy B. (Try),
13', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
16', Tiberghien C. (Try),
17', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
27', Matkava L. (Penalty Goal),
29', Germain B. (Penalty Goal),
40', Ivanishvili L. (Try),
40+1', Matkava L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 24)
43', Hannoun V. (Try),
53', Hannoun V. (Try),
53', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),
62', Martin L. (Try),
64', Martocq G. (Try),
65', Germain B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Bayonne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayonne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bayonne will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Black Lion Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
15.12.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Black Lion	36:18 ✺
07.12.24	Black Lion - Vannes	22:19 ✺
Europe Super Cup Rugby Union
12.10.24	Black Lion - Lusitanos XV	36:0 ✺
28.09.24	Black Lion - Castilla y León Iberians	47:21 ✺
15.09.24	Castilla y León Iberians - Black Lion	3:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
04.01.25	Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais	42:10 ✺
28.12.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Castres	33:12 ✺
21.12.24	Vannes - Aviron Bayonnais	21:27 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.24	Edinburgh - Aviron Bayonnais	52:12 ✺
07.12.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Llanelli Scarlets	17:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches