Match Info
EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 1Date: 7 December 2024, SaturdayLocation: Stade Jean-Dauger (Bayonne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
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Aviron Bayonnais |
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Llanelli Scarlets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.17 |
34 |
5 |
|
 |
1.16 |
26 |
5 |
|
 |
1.15 |
26 |
5.85 |
|
 |
1.14 |
29.37 |
6.27 |
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 |
1.14 |
29 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.12 |
23 |
6.83 |
|
 |
1.15 |
26 |
5.85 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.15 ↑ (1.15) |
27.62 ↓ (27.76) |
5.76 ↓ (5.81) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 40.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aviron Bayonnais 80.6% | Draw 3.3% | Llanelli Scarlets 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Aviron Bayonnais - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:14 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Villar M. L.
| 1. Mathias K.
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2. Martin L.
| 2. Evans S.
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3. Scholtz P.
| 3. Wainwright S.
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4. Marchois D.
| 4. Craig A. (C)
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5. Poloniati S.
| 5. Price J.
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6. Bruni R.
| 6. Taylor J.
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7. Heguy B.
| 7. Davis D.
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8. Cassiem U.
| 8. Fifita V.
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9. Rouet G.
| 9. Jones E.
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10. Lopez C. (C)
| 10. Lloyd I.
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11. Carreras M.
| 11. Mee E.
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12. Tuilagi M.
| 12. James E.
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13. Martocq G.
| 13. Roberts J.
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14. Megdoud N.
| 14. Rogers T.
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15. Tiberghien C.
| 15. Nicholas I.
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| Substitutes |
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16. van Jaarsveld T.
| 16. Young I.
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17. Bordelai A.
| 17. O'Connor S.
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18. Cotet P.
| 18. Holz A.
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19. Chouzenoux B.
| 19. Lousi S.
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20. Habel Kueffner G.
| 20. Douglas M.
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21. Germain B.
| 21. Hughes A.
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22. Segonds J.
| 22. Titcombe C.
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23. Spring T.
| 23. Page M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 13)
- 4', Lloyd I. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Bruni R. (Try),
- 14', Lopez C. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Lopez C. (Try),
- 24', Lopez C. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Lloyd I. (Penalty Goal),
- 40+1', Evans S. (Try),
- 40+2', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 74', Lloyd I. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Bayonne is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Bayonne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Bayonne is indisputable favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bayonne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:124 (average 7.5:31). Including matches at home between the teams Bayonne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:39 (average 9:19.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Challenge Cup Rugby | | | 21.01.23 | Aviron Bayonnais - Llanelli Scarlets | 7:20 | | 11.12.22 | Llanelli Scarlets - Aviron Bayonnais | 39:7 | | 14.12.19 | Llanelli Scarlets - Aviron Bayonnais | 46:5 | | 07.12.19 | Aviron Bayonnais - Llanelli Scarlets | 11:19 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;