Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV5
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Blue Bulls		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.3	26	3.55
	1.3	26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.08)	26 ↓ (32.67)	3.6 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blue Bulls
70.9%

Draw
3.5%

Bristol Rugby
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.9%

2.8%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blue Bulls's form might have worsened.

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rugby's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Blue Bulls - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wessels J.	1. Lahiff M.
2. Grobbelaar J.	2. Oghre G.
3. Louw W.	3. Kloska G.
4. Wiese C.	4. Rubiolo P.
5. Nortje R. (C)	5. Batley J.
6. van Staden M.	6. Grondona S.
7. Louw E.	7. Harding F. (C)
8. Rudolph J.	8. Bill
9. Papier E.	9. Marmion K.
10. Pollard H.	10. Jordan T.
11. Jacobs S.	11. Ravouvou K.
12. Vorster H.	12. Williams J.
13. Kriel D.	13. Janse van Rensburg B.
14. de Klerk S.	14. Heward N.
15. Le Roux W.	15. Lane R.
Substitutes
16. van der Merwe A.	16. Thacker H.
17. Steenekamp G.	17. Genge E.
18. Smith M.	18. Halliwell J.
19. Vermaak R.	19. Owen J.
20. Gumede M.	20. Grondona B.
21. Burger Z.	21. Randall H.
22. Gans S. R.	22. Worsley S.
23. Petersen S.	23. Moroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 47)
3', Janse van Rensburg B. (Try),
4', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
6', Lahiff M. (Try),
7', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
8', Heward N. (Try),
9', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
14', Rudolph J. (Try),
14', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
16', Ravouvou K. (Try),
16', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
19', Jacobs S. (Try),
20', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
22', Heward N. (Try),
23', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
25', Marmion K. (Try),
26', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
28', Jacobs S. (Try),
29', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
38', (Penalty Try),
39', Lane R. 🟨,
40+2', Heward N. (Try),
2nd Half (21 - 14)
44', Kriel D. (Try),
45', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
57', Le Roux W. 🟨,
57', Rubiolo P. (Try),
58', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
60', Ravouvou K. (Try),
61', Ravouvou K. (Conversion Goal),
73', de Klerk S. (Try),
73', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
75', Le Roux W. (Try),
76', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Blue Bulls is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bristol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Blue Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Blue Bulls is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bristol will win today's game, with odds of 3.91.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blue Bulls won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Stormers - Blue Bulls	13:8 ✺
20.12.25	Sharks - Blue Bulls	21:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Northampton Saints - Blue Bulls	50:5 ✺
06.12.25	Blue Bulls - Bordeaux Bègles	33:46 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Blue Bulls - Lions	33:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
02.01.26	Bristol Rugby - Sale Sharks	19:17 ✺
27.12.25	Bristol Rugby - Newcastle Red Bulls	36:27 ✺
20.12.25	Harlequins - Bristol Rugby	14:40 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Bristol Rugby - Section Paloise	61:12 ✺
06.12.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby	16:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
13.01.24	Bristol Rugby - Blue Bulls	17:31

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