Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Ireland	Premier Sports 1, TG4 app, TG4 Ireland
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Blue Bulls		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.28	26	3.75
	1.31	18	3.8
	1.3	26	3.6
	1.26	31	4.17
	1.28	27	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	25.67 ↑ (21.5)	3.8 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blue Bulls
72%

Draw
3.6%

Glasgow Warriors
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

4.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

4.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blue Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blue Bulls than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (+1%)

Blue Bulls - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steenekamp G.	1. Bhatti J.
2. Grobbelaar J.	2. Matthews J.
3. Louw W.	3. Fagerson Z.
4. Vermaak R.	4. Cummings S.
5. Nortje R.	5. Gray R.
6. van Standen M.	6. Fagerson M.
7. Louw E.	7. Darge R.
8. Hanekom C.	8. Dempsey J.
9. Papier E. C.	9. Horne G.
10. Goosen J.	10. Jordan T.
11. Arendse K.	11. Steyn K.
12. Vorster H.	12. Tuipulotu S.
13. Kriel D.	13. Jones H.
14. Petersen S.	14. Cancelliere S.
15. Williams D.	15. Mckay J.
Substitutes
16. van der Merwe A.	16. Turner G.
17. Matanzima S.	17. McBeth N.
18. Klopper F.	18. Kebble O.
19. Ludwig R.	19. Williamson M.
20. Carr N.	20. Ferrie E.
21. Burger Z.	21. Venter H.
22. Smith C.	22. Dobie J.
23. Smit C.	23. Weir D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 7)
2', Goosen J. (Penalty Goal),
15', Goosen J. (Penalty Goal),
25', van Standen M. (Try),
26', Goosen J. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Cummings S. (Try),
40+3', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 14)
52', Goosen J. (Penalty Goal),
55', Turner G. (Try),
56', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),
68', Jones H. (Try),
68', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Blue Bulls in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Glasgow Warriors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Blue Bulls have a series of home games.

In this match Blue Bulls is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Blue Bulls won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 90-83.

Including matches at home between the teams Blue Bulls won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 69-48.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
15.06.24	Blue Bulls - Leinster	25:20 ✺
08.06.24	Blue Bulls - Benetton Treviso	30:23 ✺
01.06.24	Sharks - Blue Bulls	14:26 ✺
18.05.24	Blue Bulls - Benetton Treviso	56:35 ✺
11.05.24	Blue Bulls - Glasgow Warriors	40:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
15.06.24	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	10:17 ✺
08.06.24	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	27:10 ✺
31.05.24	Glasgow Warriors - Zebre	38:26 ✺
18.05.24	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	44:21 ✺
11.05.24	Blue Bulls - Glasgow Warriors	40:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
11.05.24	Blue Bulls - Glasgow Warriors	40:31
08.10.22	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	35:21
29.04.22	Blue Bulls - Glasgow Warriors	29:17

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