Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 14

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Scotstoun Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Glasgow Warriors		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.17	34	5
	1.14	34	5.5
	1.19	30	5.2
	1.18	40	5	Watch
	1.17	29	5
	1.18	26	5.44
	1.19	30	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.14)	31.86 ↑ (28.67)	5.19 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
79.2%

Draw
2.9%

Lions
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.1%

3.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Glasgow Warriors - Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McBeth N.	1. Schoeman J.
2. Stewart G.	2. Botha P.
3. Talakai S.	3. Ntlabakanye A.
4. Brown G.	4. Schoeman R.
5. du Preez J.	5. Landsberg D.
6. Ferrie E.	6. Pretorius J.
7. Vailanu S.	7. Venter R.
8. Venter H.	8. Horn F.
9. Horne G.	9. Steyn N.
10. Hastings A.	10. Lombard G.
11. Steyn K.	11. van der Merwe E.
12. Jordan T.	12. Louw M.
13. McDowell S.	13. Rass M.
14. Dobie J.	14. Kriel R.
15. Rowe K.	15. Horn Q.
Substitutes
16. Matthews J.	16. Marais F.
17. Sutherland R.	17. Kotze S.
18. Fagerson Z.	18. Schoeman R.
19. Samuel A.	19. Delport R.
20. Oguntibeju O.	20. Qoma S.
21. Darge R.	21. Horn L.
22. Afshar B.	22. Cairns J.
23. Cancelliere S.	23. Jonker R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (42 - 0)
6', McBeth N. (Try),
6', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),
18', Dobie J. (Try),
19', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),
26', Dobie J. (Try),
27', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),
30', Horne G. (Try),
31', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),
38', Hastings A. (Try),
39', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
43', Steyn N. 🟨,
44', Hastings A. (Try),
44', Hastings A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Glasgow Warriors is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Glasgow Warriors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 89:109 (average 22.3:27.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Glasgow Warriors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 44:30 (average 22:15).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
21.03.25	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	28:25 ✺
01.03.25	Glasgow Warriors - Ospreys	31:32 ✺
16.02.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors	20:45 ✺
26.01.25	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	22:19 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.25	Harlequins - Glasgow Warriors	24:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
21.03.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	20:17 ✺
08.03.25	Sharks - Lions	25:22 ✺
01.03.25	Lions - Sharks	38:14 ✺
22.02.25	Blue Bulls - Lions	31:19 ✺
15.02.25	Lions - Stormers	30:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
18.05.24	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	44:21
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.04.23	Glasgow Warriors - Lions	31:21
United Rugby Championship
25.02.23	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	35:24
09.10.21	Glasgow Warriors - Lions	13:9

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