Match Info

Currie Cup - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	Stan Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby


	Lions		Stormers XXIII

	1	X	2
	1.4	18.5	3
	1.38	26	3.05
	1.4	21	2.88
	1.36	25	2.95
	1.37	21	3.23
	1.38	26	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	22.92 ↑ (18.5)	3.03 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
65.9%

Draw
4%

Stormers XXIII
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

4.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

5.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Stormers XXIII has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stormers XXIII than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Lions - Stormers XXIII Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 0)
2nd Half (21 - 12)

Preview

Recent form of Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stormers XXIII's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stormers XXIII may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lions is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
25.08.26	Lions - New Zealand	35:41 ✺
Currie Cup
21.08.26	Sharks - Lions	22:17 ✺
14.08.26	Lions - Boland Cavaliers	29:38 ✺
08.08.26	Griquas - Lions	31:19 ✺
01.08.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	42:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Stormers XXIII
Currie Cup
21.08.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers XXIII	26:50 ✺
15.08.26	Pumas - Stormers XXIII	29:7 ✺
01.08.26	Stormers XXIII - Sharks	36:28 ✺
26.07.26	Boland Cavaliers - Stormers XXIII	41:3 ✺
17.07.26	Stormers XXIII - Griquas	25:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW

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