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Current Win Probability
Blues 52.5%
Draw 4.5%
Crusaders 43%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
5.2%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blues's performance.
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Blues - Crusaders Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blues (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tu'ungafasi O.
3. Newell F.
2. Eklund K.
4. Shalfoon A.
3. Renata M.
5. Hannah J.
5. Darry S.
6. Gardiner D.
7. Papalii D.
7. Blackadder E.
8. Sotutu H.
8. Lio-Willie C.
9. Christie F.
9. Hotham N.
10. Perofeta S.
10. Reihana R.
11. Clarke C.
11. Reece S.
12. Ahki P.
12. Havili D.
13. Lam A.
13. Faingaanuku L.
15. Sullivan Z.
14. Fihaki C.
19. Beehre J.
15. Kemara T.
20. Barnes T.
16. Taylor C.
23. Vai C.
17. Bower G.
Substitutes
. Barrett B.
. Letiu M.
. Clarke C.
. Saifoloi X.
6. Segner A.
1. Brewis F.
16. Mullan J.
18. Calder S.
17. Tupaea M.
19. Tucker W.
18. Matenga S.
20. Kellow C.
21. Funaki T.
21. Preston K.
22. Taele X.
23. McLeod D.
Coaches
. Cotter V.
. Penney R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (19 - 13)
3', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
4', Clarke C. (Try),
5', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
7', Gardiner D. 🟨,
11', Clarke C. (Try),
12', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
21', Vai C. (Try),
22', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
31', Clarke C. 🟨,
33', Hannah J. ↓, Tucker W. ↑,
33', Taylor C. (Try),
34', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
37', Reihana R. (Try),
2nd Half (10 - 0)
41', Kemara T. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
42', Barnes T. ↓, Segner A. ↑,
49', Gardiner D. ↓, Saifoloi X. ↑,
49', Bower G. ↓, Brewis F. ↑,
50', Clarke C. (Try),
51', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
52', Blackadder E. ↓, Kellow C. ↑,
52', Tu'ungafasi O. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
53', Ahki P. ↓, Taele X. ↑,
54', Eklund K. ↓, Mullan J. ↑,
58', Christie F. ↓, Funaki T. ↑,
59', Newell F. ↓, Calder S. ↑,
65', Renata M. ↓, Matenga S. ↑,
72', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
77', Barrett B. (Penalty Goal),
77', Taylor C. ↓, Letiu M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blues won 1.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blues won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 342:553. (average 17.1:27.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Blues won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 161:227. (average 17.9:25.2).
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Tu'ungafasi O. 
Ahki P. 
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