The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chiefs 59.7%
Draw 4.2%
Crusaders 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
4.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
4.7%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
The chances for Crusaders have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Chiefs - Crusaders Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Chiefs will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Norris O.
1. Brewis F.
2. Taukei'aho S.
2. Taylor C.
3. Ahio S.
3. Newell F.
4. Lord J.
4. Shalfoon A.
5. Vaa'i T.
5. Hannah J.
6. Finau S.
6. Blackadder E.
7. Jacobson L.
7. Faingaanuku L.
8. Parker S.
8. Lio-Willie C.
9. Ratima C.
9. Hotham N.
10. McKenzie D.
10. Kemara T.
11. Taumoefolau K.
11. Reece S.
12. Tupaea Q.
12. Havili D.
13. Foketi L.
13. Ennor B.
14. Coombes-Fabling L.
14. Fihaki C.
15. Hutchinson I.
15. McNicholl J.
Substitutes
16. McAlister B.
16. Letiu M.
17. Proffit J.
17. Sexton J.
18. Dyer G.
18. Bower G.
19. Ah Kuoi N.
19. Cahill T.
20. Boshier K.
20. Gardiner D.
21. Roe X.
21. Preston K.
22. Jacomb J.
22. Reihana R.
23. Carter L.
23. Springer M.
Coaches
. McMillan C.
. Penney R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (42 - 5)
12', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
13', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
16', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
16', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
20', Hutchinson I. (Try),
21', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
24', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
25', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
25', Hutchinson I. ↓, Carter L. ↑,
26', Fihaki C. (Try),
27', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
30', Carter L. (Try),
31', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
33', Vaa'i T. (Try),
34', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
35', Faingaanuku L. ↓, Gardiner D. ↑,
2nd Half (7 - 7)
48', McNicholl J. ↓, Springer M. ↑,
48', Kemara T. ↓, Reihana R. ↑,
48', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
51', Lord J. ↓, Ah Kuoi N. ↑,
51', Shalfoon A. ↓, Cahill T. ↑,
51', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
52', Newell F. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
54', Ahio S. ↓, Dyer G. ↑,
56', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
56', Tupaea Q. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
63', Havili D. (Try),
63', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
64', Coombes-Fabling L. 🟨,
69', Foketi L. ↓, Boshier K. ↑,
69', Brewis F. ↓, Sexton J. ↑,
69', Springer M. ↓, Letiu M. ↑,
71', Carter L. ↓, Roe X. ↑,
79', Roe X. (Try),
80', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Recently, Crusaders has had a series of home games.
Chiefs will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Chiefs will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 508:518. (average 25.4:25.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 298:278. (average 29.8:27.8).
Watch
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Norris O. 
Taumoefolau K. 
Foketi L. 
McNicholl J. 
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