Match Info
Super Rugby - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 13 June 2025, FridayLocation: Apollo Projects Stadium (Christchurch)Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Crusaders |
|
Blues |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
21 |
2.75 |
|
 |
1.4 |
26 |
3 |
|
 |
1.41 |
23 |
3.15 |
|
 |
1.4 |
29 |
2.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.36 |
21 |
3 |
|
 |
1.43 |
23 |
2.97 |
|
 |
1.41 |
23 |
3.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.57) |
23.71 ↑
(21) |
3 ↑
(2.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Crusaders
65.3% | Draw
3.9% | Blues
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crusaders's performance.Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blues might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crusaders that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blues than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -6.5, OT - Blues (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crusaders will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crusaders will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Crusaders (votes: 3 - 75%). Blues (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Bower G.
| 1. Fusitua J.
|
2. Taylor C.
| 2. Riccitelli R.
|
3. Newell F.
| 3. Renata M.
|
4. Barrett S.
| 4. Tuipulotu P. (C)
|
5. Shalfoon A.
| 5. McWhannell L.
|
6. Blackadder E.
| 6. Choat A.
|
7. Christie T.
| 7. Papalii D.
|
8. Lio-Willie C.
| 8. Sotutu H.
|
9. Hotham N.
| 9. Christie F.
|
10. Reihana R.
| 10. Barrett B.
|
11. Reece S.
| 11. Clarke C.
|
12. Havili D. (C)
| 12. Lam A.
|
13. Ennor B.
| 13. Ioane R.
|
14. Fihaki C.
| 14. Telea M.
|
15. Jordan W.
| 15. Sullivan Z.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Bell G.
| 16. Eklund K.
|
17. Sykes-Martin K.
| 17.  Lay J.
|
18. Calder S.
| 18. Taavao A.
|
19. Hannah J.
| 19. Beehre J.
|
20. Grace C.
| 20. Segner A.
|
21. Preston K.
| 21. Nock S.
|
22.  O'Connor J.
| 22. Plummer H.
|
23. McLeod D.
| 23. Forbes C.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Penney R.
| . Cotter V.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 14)
- 10', Telea M. (Try),
- 11', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Ennor B. 🟨,
- 20', Ioane R. (Try),
- 20', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Ennor B. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
- 23', Christie T. (Try),
- 24', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', McLeod D. ↓, Ennor B. ↑,
- 25', Fusitua J. 🟨,
- 26', Blackadder E. ↓, Grace C. ↑,
- 28', Choat A. ↓, Lay J. ↑,
- 28', Barrett S. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
- 28', Grace C. ↓, Blackadder E. ↑,
- 36', Jordan W. (Try),
- 36', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Lay J. ↓, Choat A. ↑,
- 37', Fusitua J. ↓, Lay J. ↑,
- 39', Hannah J. ↓, Barrett S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (7 - 0)
- 47', Choat A. ↓, Segner A. ↑,
- 54', Taylor C. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
- 54', Christie T. ↓, Grace C. ↑,
- 56', Lay J. ↓, Taavao A. ↑,
- 59', Renata M. ↓, Eklund K. ↑,
- 62', McWhannell L. ↓, Beehre J. ↑,
- 67', Riccitelli R. ↓, Lay J. ↑,
- 67', Havili D. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
- 68', Christie F. ↓, Nock S. ↑,
- 70', Jordan W. (Try),
- 71', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Bower G. ↓, Sykes-Martin K. ↑,
- 73', Lam A. ↓, Plummer H. ↑,
- 74', Sotutu H. 🟨,
- 74', Sullivan Z. ↓, Forbes C. ↑,
- 74', Fihaki C. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
- 79', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
- 79', Shalfoon A. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
- 80+6', Sotutu H. ↓, Choat A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 4.Now, both teams are in good form. In this match, Crusaders is a strong favorite.We predict that Crusaders will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 558:349. (average 27.9:17.5).Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 305:167. (average 30.5:16.7).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 18.04.25 | Crusaders - Blues | 25:22 | | 22.03.25 | Blues - Crusaders | 19:42 | | 25.05.24 | Crusaders - Blues | 29:27 | | 23.03.24 | Blues - Crusaders | 26:6 | | 16.06.23 | Crusaders - Blues | 52:15 | | 13.05.23 | Crusaders - Blues | 15:3 | | 18.03.23 | Blues - Crusaders | 28:34 |
|
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