The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 72.4%
Draw 3.5%
Blues 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
4.4%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
4.6%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crusaders's performance.
Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blues might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crusaders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blues than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Crusaders - Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brewis F.
1. Tu'ungafasi O.
2. Taylor C.
2. Slater B.
3. Bower G.
3. Renata M.
4. Shalfoon A.
4. Tuipulotu P. (C)
5. Hannah J.
5. Darry S.
6. Blackadder E.
6. Barnes T.
7. Faingaanuku L.
7. Segner A.
8. Lio-Willie C.
8. Wrampling-Alec M.
9. Hotham N.
9. Nock S.
10. Kemara T.
10. Perofeta S.
11. Reece S.
11. Clarke C.
12. Havili D. (C)
12. Ahki P.
13. McLeod D.
13. Taele X.
14. Fihaki C.
14. Lam A.
15. McNicholl J.
15. Sullivan Z.
Substitutes
16. Letiu M.
16. Oudenryn E.
17. Sexton J.
17. Tupaea M.
18. Brown G.
18. Yates F.
19. Cahill T.
19. Beehre J.
20. Gardiner D.
20. Sotutu H.
21. Preston K.
21. Christie F.
22. Reihana R.
22. Evans C.
23. Ennor B.
23. Spencer P.
Coaches
. Penney R.
. Cotter V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (33 - 14)
3', Nock S. (Try),
3', Sullivan Z. (Conversion Goal),
12', Reece S. (Try),
13', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
18', McLeod D. ↓, Ennor B. ↑,
19', Wrampling-Alec M. 🟥,
21', McNicholl J. (Try),
21', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
22', Nock S. ↓, Christie F. ↑,
27', Segner A. (Try),
28', Sullivan Z. (Conversion Goal),
30', Havili D. (Try),
31', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
33', Fihaki C. (Try),
34', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
38', Kemara T. (Try),
38', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 17)
50', McNicholl J. (Try),
50', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
51', Slater B. ↓, Oudenryn E. ↑,
51', Renata M. ↓, Yates F. ↑,
51', Tu'ungafasi O. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
51', Ennor B. ↓, Gardiner D. ↑,
52', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
52', Kemara T. ↓, Reihana R. ↑,
53', Lio-Willie C. ↓, Cahill T. ↑,
54', Taele X. (Try),
54', Sullivan Z. (Conversion Goal),
58', Brewis F. ↓, Sexton J. ↑,
60', Tuipulotu P. ↓, Beehre J. ↑,
60', Sullivan Z. ↓, Spencer P. ↑,
62', Taylor C. ↓, Letiu M. ↑,
62', Bower G. ↓, Brown G. ↑,
63', McNicholl J. (Try),
64', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
69', Spencer P. (Try),
70', Taele X. (Missed Conversion),
74', Lam A. ↓, Forbes C. ↑,
75', Letiu M. (Try),
78', Clarke C. (Try),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 4.
Crusaders is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Blues has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Blues may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Crusaders has had a series of home games.
In this match, Crusaders is a strong favorite.
We predict that Crusaders will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 537:343. (average 26.9:17.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 329:177. (average 29.9:16.1).
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Brewis F. 
Ahki P. 
McNicholl J. 
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