Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Bordeaux Bègles		Gloucester

	1	X	2
	1.25	23	4
	1.25	29	3.9
	1.26	26	4
	1.25	21	4
	1.28	28	3.88
	1.25	26	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.46)	25.5 ↑ (20.25)	3.96 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux Bègles
73.2%

Draw
3.6%

Gloucester
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

4.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

4.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bordeaux Bègles's performance.

Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bordeaux Bègles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bordeaux Bègles - Gloucester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20

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Preview

Recent matches Bordeaux Bègles is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloucester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bordeaux Bègles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bordeaux Bègles will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bordeaux Bègles to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bordeaux Bègles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 66-75.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux Bègles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Bordeaux Bègles
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.01.23	Sharks - Bordeaux Bègles	32:3 ✺
French Top 14
07.01.23	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	23:15 ✺
30.12.22	Bordeaux Bègles - Montpellier	40:10 ✺
23.12.22	La Rochelle - Bordeaux Bègles	8:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.12.22	Bordeaux Bègles - Sharks	16:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL
- Gloucester Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.01.23	Gloucester - Leinster	14:49 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
06.01.23	Gloucester - Saracens	16:19 ✺
31.12.22	Gloucester - London Irish	8:6 ✺
24.12.22	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	28:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.12.22	Leinster - Gloucester	57:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
10.12.22	Gloucester - Bordeaux Bègles	22:17
31.05.15	Gloucester - Bordeaux Bègles	22:23
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.01.13	Bordeaux Bègles - Gloucester	26:31

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