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Saracens vs Northampton Saints Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 28, 2026)

Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 12

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Woodthorpe A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 1


	Saracens		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	2.05	19	1.83
	2.13	20	1.75
	2.17	20.12	1.77	Watch
	2.1	21	1.8
	2.1	18	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	19.62 ↑ (18.19)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saracens
43.7%

Draw
4.7%

Northampton Saints
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

5.1%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

5.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saracens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carre R.	1. Iyogun E.
2. Dan T.	2. Langdon C.
3. Street M.	3. Green L.
4. Itoje M. (C)	4. Lockett T.
5. Tizard H.	5. Prowse E.
6. McFarland T.	6. Kemeny J.
7. Christie A.	7. Pearson T.
8. Willis T.	8. Pollock H.
9. Bracken C.	9. McParland A.
10. Farrell O.	10. Smith F.
11. Segun R.	11. Ramm J.
12. Tompkins N.	12. Hutchinson R.
13. Cinti L.	13. Litchfield T.
14. Elliott T.	14. Freeman T.
15. Daly E.	15. Furbank G.
Substitutes
16. George J.	16. Wright C.
17. Mawi E.	17. Fischetti D.
18. Riccioni M.	18. Davison T.
19. Isiekwe N.	19. Mescht JJ
20. Michelow N.	20. Munga C.
21. van Zyl I.	21. Chick C.
22. Burke F.	22. Weimann J.
23. Malins M.	23. Dingwall F.
Coaches
. McCall M.	. Dowson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 14)
6', Litchfield T. (Try),
7', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
12', McParland A. (Try),
13', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
21', Elliott T. (Try),
22', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
26', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
29', Smith F. ↓, Dingwall F. ↑,
2nd Half (10 - 7)
44', Dan T. (Try),
45', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
50', Carre R. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
50', Dan T. ↓, George J. ↑,
50', Street M. ↓, Riccioni M. ↑,
50', Green L. ↓, Davison T. ↑,
50', Prowse E. ↓, Mescht JJ ↑,
55', Willis T. ↓, Michelow N. ↑,
55', Langdon C. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
62', McFarland T. ↓, Isiekwe N. ↑,
62', Davison T. ↓, Green L. ↑,
64', Bracken C. ↓, van Zyl I. ↑,
66', Kemeny J. ↓, Chick C. ↑,
68', Farrell O. ↓, Burke F. ↑,
70', Segun R. ↓, Malins M. ↑,
72', Burke F. (Penalty Goal),
72', Lockett T. ↓, Munga C. ↑,
77', McParland A. (Try),
78', Hutchinson R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 1.

Saracens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Northampton Saints is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 627:616. (average 31.4:30.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 306:273. (average 34:30.3).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Northampton Saints	16	13	1	2	626:466	67
5	Saracens	16	9	0	7	590:405	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
20.03.26	Bath - Saracens	62:15 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Northampton Saints - Saracens	35:33 ✺
14.02.26	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	26:31 ✺
07.02.26	Saracens - Harlequins	40:43 ✺
30.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	12:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
21.03.26	Northampton Saints - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:27 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
08.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints	31:14 ✺
28.02.26	Northampton Saints - Saracens	35:33 ✺
20.02.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Northampton Saints	21:49 ✺
13.02.26	Harlequins - Northampton Saints	24:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Northampton Saints - Saracens	35:33
English Premiership Rugby
24.10.25	Northampton Saints - Saracens	43:31
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.09.25	Saracens - Northampton Saints	34:49
English Premiership Rugby
17.05.25	Northampton Saints - Saracens	28:24
22.12.24	Saracens - Northampton Saints	39:24
31.05.24	Northampton Saints - Saracens	22:20
29.03.24	Northampton Saints - Saracens	41:30

Saracens - Northampton Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide