The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Saints 62.2%
Draw 4.3%
Leicester Tigers 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.4%
4%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.4%
3.7%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Saints's form might have worsened.
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Northampton Saints - Leicester Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Northampton Saints will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iyogun E.
1. Smith N.
2. Langdon C.
2. Blamire J.
3. Millar-Mills E.
3. Heyes J.
4. Coles A.
4. Martin G.
5. Prowse E.
5. Chessum O. (C)
6. Kemeny J.
6. Liebenberg H.
7. Pearson T.
7. Reffell T.
8. Pollock H.
8. Moro J.
9. McParland A.
9. van Poortvliet J.
10. Smith F.
10. Searle B.
11. Hendy G.
11. Hassell-Collins O.
12. Hutchinson R.
12. Bailey O.
13. Litchfield T.
13. Wand W.
14. Freeman T.
14. Radwan A.
15. Furbank G. (C)
15. Steward F.
Substitutes
16. Wright C.
16. Clare C.
17. Fischetti D.
17. van der Flier A.
18. Green L.
18. Hurd W.
19. Mescht JJ
19. Henderson C.
20. Lockett T.
20. Cracknell O.
21. Chick C.
21. Whiteley T.
22. Weimann J.
22. Kata S.
23. Dingwall F.
23. Perese I.
Coaches
. Dowson P.
. Parling G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (26 - 19)
1', Litchfield T. (Try),
2', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
6', Liebenberg H. (Try),
7', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
12', Steward F. (Try),
13', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
15', Litchfield T. (Try),
16', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
19', Freeman T. (Try),
19', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
35', Hassell-Collins O. (Try),
35', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
39', Litchfield T. (Try),
40', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (19 - 12)
43', Furbank G. (Try),
44', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
44', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
47', Bailey O. (Try),
48', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
53', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
53', Langdon C. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
56', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
57', Wand W. ↓, Perese I. ↑,
57', Litchfield T. ↓, Dingwall F. ↑,
62', Prowse E. ↓, Mescht JJ ↑,
62', Millar-Mills E. ↓, Green L. ↑,
63', Moro J. ↓, Cracknell O. ↑,
66', McParland A. (Try),
66', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
66', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
66', Bailey O. ↓, Kata S. ↑,
66', Pearson T. ↓, Chick C. ↑,
70', Hassell-Collins O. (Try),
70', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
73', Martin G. ↓, Henderson C. ↑,
74', Furbank G. (Try),
75', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
76', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Whiteley T. ↑,
77', Wright C. 🟨,
77', Coles A. ↓, Lockett T. ↑,
78', Hendy G. ↓, Langdon C. ↑,
78', McParland A. ↓, Weimann J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Northampton Saints might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Northampton Saints will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 454:546. (average 22.7:27.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton Saints won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 226:219. (average 25.1:24.3).
Czech-republic
Slovakia
United-kingdom
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Iyogun E. 
Smith N. 
Millar-Mills E. 
Kemeny J. 
Liebenberg H. 
Moro J. 
Fischetti D. 
Kata S. 
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