The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Saints 66.4%
Draw 4.1%
Exeter Chiefs 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
7.8%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
9%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Northampton Saints will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:26
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iyogun E.
1. Sio S.
2. Langdon C.
2. Norey M.
3. Millar-Mills E.
3. Iosefa-Scott J.
4. Coles A.
4. Jenkins D. (C)
5. Prowse E.
5. Zambonin A.
6. Kemeny J.
6. Hooper T.
7. Pearson T.
7. Roots E.
8. Pollock H.
8. Fisilau G.
9. McParland A.
9. Varney S.
10. Smith F.
10. Skinner H.
11. Hendy G.
11. Ridl C.
12. Hutchinson R.
12. Ikitau L.
13. Litchfield T.
13. Slade H.
14. Freeman T.
14. Feyi-Waboso I.
15. Furbank G. (C)
15. Brown-Bampoe P.
Substitutes
16. Wright C.
16. Dweba J.
17. Fischetti D.
17. Burger E.
18. Green L.
18. Tchumbadze B.
19. Mescht JJ
19. Tshiunza C.
20. Lockett T.
20. Vintcent R.
21. Chick C.
21. James K.
22. Mitchell A.
22. Cairns T.
23. Dingwall F.
23. Haydon-Wood W.
Coaches
. Dowson P.
. Baxter R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 10)
1', Freeman T. (Try),
2', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
8', Norey M. ↓, Dweba J. ↑,
9', Ridl C. (Try),
10', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
11', McParland A. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
31', Smith F. (Try),
32', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
39', Iosefa-Scott J. (Try),
40', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (12 - 7)
45', Sio S. ↓, Burger E. ↑,
45', Iosefa-Scott J. ↓, Tchumbadze B. ↑,
47', Roots E. ↓, Tshiunza C. ↑,
48', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
48', Langdon C. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
48', Millar-Mills E. ↓, Green L. ↑,
50', Kemeny J. 🟨,
51', Jenkins D. (Try),
52', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
52', Prowse E. ↓, Mescht JJ ↑,
56', Jenkins D. 🟨,
57', Pearson T. ↓, Chick C. ↑,
59', Litchfield T. ↓, Dingwall F. ↑,
64', Hendy G. (Try),
64', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
67', Hendy G. (Try),
68', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
68', Jenkins D. ↓, Vintcent R. ↑,
77', Smith F. (Missed Penalty),
77', Ridl C. ↓, Haydon-Wood W. ↑,
77', Kemeny J. ↓, Lockett T. ↑,
77', Fisilau G. ↓, James K. ↑,
Preview
Neutral location - Twickenham Stadium.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 2.
Northampton Saints has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Exeter is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Northampton Saints may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Northampton Saints might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Northampton Saints will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 471:624. (average 23.6:31.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton Saints won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 230:208. (average 28.8:26).
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Iyogun E. 
Sio S. 
Millar-Mills E. 
Iosefa-Scott J. 
Jenkins D. (C) 
Zambonin A. 
Kemeny J. 
Dweba J. 
Tchumbadze B. 
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