Match Info

Top 14 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, CANAL+ Sport
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Toulon		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.07	41	8
	1.06	35	8.2
	1.05	34.22	11.63	Watch
	1.05	36	10
	1.06	40	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↑ (1.05)	37.24 ↑ (34.22)	9.37 ↓ (11.63)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toulon
87.6%

Draw
2.5%

Lyon
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.2%

2.7%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Priso D.	1. Rey J.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Chat C.
3. Gigashvili B.	3. Ainsley J.
4. Ribbans D.	4. William T.
5. Alainu'uese B.	5. Roux J.
6. Ludlam L.	6. Deliance A.
7. Abadie E.	7. Saghinadze B. (C)
8. Ollivon C. (C)	8. Simmonds S.
9. Serin B.	9. Gonzalez E.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Jackson D. P.
11. Tuicuvu S.	11. Dumortier E.
12. Nonu M.	12. Millet T.
13. Brex N.	13. Maraku J.
14. Drean G.	14. Wainiqolo J.
15. Ferte M.	15. Lorre G.
Substitutes
16. Damond P.	16. Marchand G.
17. Brennan D.	17. Moukoro T.
18. Rebbadj S.	18. Botha A.
19. Coulon J.	19. Shvangiradze B.
20. Garcia M.	20. Tchaptchet A.
21. White B.	21. Meliande M.
22. Smaili M.	22. Regard T.
23. Sinckler K.	23. Aptsiauri I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 9)
3', Jackson P. (Penalty Goal),
5', Priso D. (Try),
6', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
22', Wainiqolo J. 🟨,
23', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
24', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
29', Jackson P. (Penalty Goal),
32', Lorre G. (Penalty Goal),
37', Baubigny T. (Try),
38', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (33 - 12)
49', (Penalty Try),
49', Moukoro T. 🟨,
53', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
54', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
61', Ollivon C. (Try),
62', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
69', Coulon J. 🟨,
69', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
72', Ferte M. (Try),
76', Dumortier E. (Try),
77', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
79', (Penalty Try),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3.

Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Toulon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 494:416. (average 24.7:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 310:161. (average 28.2:14.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
26.10.25	Toulouse - Toulon	59:24 ✺
19.10.25	Toulon - Racing Métro	38:21 ✺
11.10.25	Clermont - Toulon	27:10 ✺
04.10.25	Toulon - Section Paloise	33:17 ✺
28.09.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	35:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL
- Lyon OU
French Top 14
25.10.25	Lyon - La Rochelle	19:36 ✺
18.10.25	Montpellier - Lyon	35:13 ✺
11.10.25	Lyon - Perpignan	44:19 ✺
04.10.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Lyon	32:20 ✺
27.09.25	Section Paloise - Lyon	40:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
01.03.25	Lyon - Toulon	27:20
02.11.24	Toulon - Lyon	21:10
11.05.24	Toulon - Lyon	30:24
19.08.23	Lyon - Toulon	27:15
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.04.23	Toulon - Lyon	48:23
French Top 14
25.03.23	Lyon - Toulon	23:27
22.12.22	Toulon - Lyon	21:3

Upcoming Matches