Match Info

WORLD: Pacific Nations Cup

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Canada		Japan

	1	X	2
	8	34	1.05
	9.8	35	1.05
	11.71	45.9	1.04	Watch
	10	41	1.04
	16	50	1.03
	9.8	35	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.89 ↑ (9.78)	40.15 ↑ (38.5)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-22)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Canada
8.5%

Draw
2.3%

Japan
89.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.4%

2.4%

88.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Canada - Japan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:40

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C.	1. Miura S.
2. Quattrin A.	2. Sakate A.
3. Young C.	3. Tamefusa K.
4. Kelly I.	4. Waqa S.
5. Duguid K.	5. Dearns W.
6. Flesch M.	6. Costley T.
7. Fryer E.	7. Shimokawa K.
8. Rumball L. (C)	8. Makisi F.
9. Higgins J.	9. Fujiwara S.
10. Nelson P.	10. Seung-Sin L.
11. Benn N.	11. Tuitama M.
12. McMullin T.	12. McCurran N.
13. LeSage B.	13. Riley D.
14. Coe A.	14. Naikabula J.
15. Coats C.	15. Yazaki Y.
Substitutes
16. Dewy	16. Harada M.
17. Sears-Duru D.	17. Mohara T.
18. Keith C.	18. Shuhei T.
19. Stockwood J.	19. Kuwano E.
20. Oworu M.	20. Mapusua I.
21. Gallagher B.	21. Koyama T.
22. Balaski M.	22. Tatekawa H. (C)
23. McMullin T.	23. Osada T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 38)
4', Tuitama M. (Try),
5', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
7', Dearns W. (Try),
8', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
22', Shimokawa K. (Try),
23', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
26', Seung-Sin L. (Penalty Goal),
28', Dearns W. (Try),
29', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
30', Riley D. (Try),
31', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
37', Coe A. (Try),
38', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 17)
43', Seung-Sin L. (Try),
44', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
45', Rumball L. (Try),
46', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
50', McMullin T. (Try),
51', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
68', Naikabula J. (Try),
69', Tatekawa H. (Missed Conversion),
80', McMullin T. (Try),
80', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
80+4', Osada T. (Try),
80+5', Tatekawa H. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

In this match Japan is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Canada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 53-80.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.07.24	Canada - Romania	35:22 ✺
06.07.24	Canada - Scotland	12:73 ✺
18.11.23	Brazil - Canada	15:40 ✺
14.08.23	Tonga - Canada	36:12 ✺
19.11.22	Canada - Namibia	37:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL
- Japan rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
21.07.24	Japan - Italy	14:42 ✺
13.07.24	Japan - Georgia	23:25 ✺
06.07.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	26:14 ✺
29.06.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	10:36 ✺
22.06.24	Japan - England	17:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
11.06.16	Canada - Japan	22:26
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
18.07.15	Canada - Japan	6:20
07.06.14	Canada - Japan	25:34

Canada - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide