The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff Rugby 43.1%
Draw 4.6%
Sharks 52.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.3%
4.2%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
4.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Rugby's form might have worsened.
Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sharks's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff Rugby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sharks than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
In recent outings, Cardiff has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sharks shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 131:94 (averaging 26.2:18.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 45:59 goals (averaging 22.5:29.5 per game).