Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 10

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff Arms Park (Cardiff)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cardiff Rugby		Sharks

	1	X	2
	4	26	1.25
	4	34	1.22
	4	22	1.27
	4.25	31	1.25	Watch
	4.33	26	1.22
	4.33	20	1.26
	4	22	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.73)	25.86 ↑ (23.33)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Rugby
22.4%

Draw
3.6%

Sharks
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Cardiff Rugby - Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barratt R.	1. Mchunu N.
2. Hughes D.	2. Mbonambi B.
3. Litterick R.	3. Nyakane T.
4. McNally J.	4. Tshituka V.
5. Davies S.	5. Jenkins J.
6. Mann A.	6. Buthelezi P.
7. Young T.	7. Tshituka E.
8. Lawrence A.	8. Hatton N.
9. Mulder J.	9. Williams G.
10. Sheedy C.	10. Masuku S.
11. Bowen T.	11. Mapimpi M.
12. Jennings R.	12. Hooker E.
13. Lee-Lo R.	13. Julius J.
14. Hamer-Webb G.	14. Penxe Y.
15. Winnett C.	15. Hendrikse J.
Substitutes
16. Daniel E.	16. Bester E.
17. Southworth D.	17. Dreyer R.
18. Davies-King W.	18. Koch V.
19. Thornton R.	19. Slabbert D.
20. Martin M.	20. Labuschagne J.
21. Lloyd E.	21. Hendrikse J.
22. Beetham J.	22. Venter F.
23. Grace R.	23. Am L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 21)
7', Mann A. (Try),
15', Mbonambi B. (Try),
15', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),
18', Julius J. (Try),
19', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Mapimpi M. (Try),
33', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),
37', Bowen T. (Try),
2nd Half (12 - 21)
42', Mbonambi B. (Try),
42', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),
44', Bowen T. (Try),
45', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
58', Hamer-Webb G. (Try),
72', Venter F. (Try),
73', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),
75', Penxe Y. (Try),
77', Hendrikse J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sharks is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sharks could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sharks is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 94:31 (average 31.3:10.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.25	Cardiff Rugby - Connacht	19:28 ✺
11.01.25	Perpignan - Cardiff Rugby	23:20 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.01.25	Cardiff Rugby - Ospreys	13:13 ✺
26.12.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	22:24 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.24	Cardiff Rugby - Cheetahs	26:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWW
- Sharks Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
19.01.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Sharks	66:12 ✺
11.01.25	Sharks - Toulouse	8:20 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.12.24	Stormers - Sharks	24:20 ✺
21.12.24	Sharks - Blue Bulls	20:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.24	Leicester Tigers - Sharks	56:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
18.05.24	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	14:36
27.11.22	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	0:35
16.10.21	Cardiff Rugby - Sharks	23:17

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