What is the expert prediction for Llanelli Scarlets vs Cardiff Rugby?

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Llanelli Scarlets vs Cardiff Rugby Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, April 18, 2026)

Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Llanelli Scarlets		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.7	22	2.19
	1.99	20.62	1.91	Watch
	1.73	19	2.2
	1.67	21	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)	20.72 ↓ (22.6)	2.16 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
52.6%

Draw
4.5%

Cardiff Rugby
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

4.1%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 7)
2nd Half (19 - 21)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 4.

Scarlets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Scarlets won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 456:405. (average 22.8:20.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarlets won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 211:200. (average 21.1:20).

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Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Cardiff Rugby	18	11	0	7	353:372	55
14	Scarlets	18	4	2	12	361:460	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	36:19 ✺
20.03.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Zebre	36:17 ✺
13.03.26	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	31:14 ✺
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
30.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Llanelli Scarlets	20:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- Cardiff Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.26	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	38:35 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	21:15 ✺
20.03.26	Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby	40:7 ✺
27.02.26	Cardiff Rugby - Leinster	8:7 ✺
31.01.26	Ulster - Cardiff Rugby	21:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
19.12.25	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	17:21
12.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	19:25
28.09.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	15:24
02.12.23	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	23:29
04.11.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	31:25
07.01.23	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	22:28
08.10.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	10:16

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