Match Info

Top 14 - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	La Rochelle		Castres

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.25	25	4
	1.26	21.84	4.47	Watch
	1.32	29	3.46
	1.24	25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)	25.37 ↑ (21.84)	4 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
73.1%

Draw
3.7%

Castres
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.7%

4.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

La Rochelle - Castres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:19

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaddouri A.	1. Galisson L.
2. Latu S.	2. Durand T.
3. Kuntelia A.	3. Collier W.
4. Lavault T.	4. Vanverberghe F.
5. Douglas K.	5. Staniforth T.
6. Botia L.	6. Babillot M.
7. Dillane U.	7. Delaporte B.
8. Haddad M.	8. Ardron T.
9. Berjon T.	9. Arata S.
10. Hastoy A.	10. Popelin P.
11. Bosmorin H.	11. Hulleu N.
12. Favre J.	12. Goodhue J.
13. Seuteni U.	13. Cocagi A.
14. Nowell J.	14. Karawalevu V.
15. Leyds D.	15. Chabouni T.
Substitutes
17. Wardi R.	16. Buruiana S.
18. Kante-Samba C.	17. Walcker Q.
19. Andjisseramatchi L.	18. Ducat G.
20. Couillaud N.	19. Cope B.
21. Jurd D.	20. Ramototabua V.
22. Daunivucu S.	21. Fernandez J.
23. Sclavi J.	22. Palis G.
162. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.	23. Azar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 13)
11', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
13', Durand T. (Try),
13', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
25', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
31', Nowell J. (Try),
31', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
39', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 6)
45', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
45', (Penalty Goal),
53', Staniforth T. 🟨,
59', Goodhue J. 🟨,
61', Dillane U. (Try),
61', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
68', 🟨,
73', Lavault T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

La Rochelle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, La Rochelle is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 532:448. (average 26.6:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rochelle won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 320:154. (average 32:15.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
French Top 14
08.11.25	Toulon - La Rochelle	39:14 ✺
02.11.25	La Rochelle - Racing Métro	33:6 ✺
25.10.25	Lyon - La Rochelle	19:36 ✺
18.10.25	La Rochelle - Montauban	54:19 ✺
11.10.25	Stade Français - La Rochelle	26:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL
- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
01.11.25	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	26:28 ✺
25.10.25	Clermont - Castres	63:14 ✺
18.10.25	Castres - Stade Français	29:24 ✺
11.10.25	Montauban - Castres	28:32 ✺
04.10.25	Castres - Racing Métro	20:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
22.03.25	La Rochelle - Castres	12:12
23.11.24	Castres - La Rochelle	28:24
20.04.24	Castres - La Rochelle	25:24
29.10.23	La Rochelle - Castres	24:27
18.02.23	Castres - La Rochelle	17:32
26.11.22	La Rochelle - Castres	53:7
02.01.22	Castres - La Rochelle	31:30

Upcoming Matches