Match Info

Top 14 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	16:35	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6


	Castres		Racing Métro

	1	X	2
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.33	23	3
	1.33	24	3.35
	1.35	24.27	3.33	Watch
	1.34	19	3.44
	1.33	24	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)	22.88 ↑ (19.5)	3.3 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castres
68.3%

Draw
4%

Racing Métro
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.4%

4.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Castres - Racing Métro Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galisson L.	1. Gogichashvili G.
2. Durand T.	2. Basse Y.
3. Collier W.	3. Kharaishvili G.
4. Ducat G.	4. Kpoku J.
5. Staniforth T.	5. Rowlands W.
6. Babillot M. (C)	6. Baudonne M.
7. Vanverberghe F.	7. Tagitagivalu L.
8. Tukino F.	8. Hughes N.
9. Arata S.	9. Labarbe K.
10. Guilhot L.	10. Gibert A.
11. Vargas A.	11. Donguy N.
12. Goodhue J.	12. Manu J.
13. Botitu V.	13. Habosi V.
14. Ambadiang C.	14. Hulleu W.
15. Chabouni T.	15. Spring M. (C)
Substitutes
16. Colonna P.	16. Tarrit J.
17. Tichit A.	17. Jabea Njocke E.
18. Ardron T.	18. Lainault T.
19. Papalii A.	19. Joseph J.
20. Doubrere G.	20. Zinzen N.
21. Mouandjo A. H.	21. Carbonneau L.
22. Cocagi A.	22. Fickou G.
23. Corato N.	23. Bamba D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 6)
3', Guilhot L. (Penalty Goal),
15', Spring M. (Penalty Goal),
30', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
38', Guilhot L. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 10)
45', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
49', Habosi V. (Try),
49', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
73', Colonna P. (Try),
73', Mouandjo A. H. (Conversion Goal),
80+2', Papalii A. (Try),
80+2', Mouandjo A. H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 2.

In this match, Castres is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 381:459. (average 19.1:23).

Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 178:171. (average 19.8:19).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
27.09.25	Toulouse - Castres	59:12 ✺
20.09.25	Castres - Aviron Bayonnais	48:17 ✺
13.09.25	Toulon - Castres	16:12 ✺
06.09.25	Castres - Section Paloise	15:17 ✺
14.06.25	Toulon - Castres	52:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Racing Métro 92
French Top 14
27.09.25	Racing Métro - Clermont	43:31 ✺
20.09.25	Perpignan - Racing Métro	15:28 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Métro - Bordeaux Bègles	44:32 ✺
06.09.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	32:7 ✺
07.06.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	34:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
25.01.25	Racing Métro - Castres	20:27
07.09.24	Castres - Racing Métro	31:28
23.03.24	Castres - Racing Métro	21:23
06.01.24	Racing Métro - Castres	34:30
31.12.22	Castres - Racing Métro	26:26
03.09.22	Racing Métro - Castres	25:19
26.02.22	Racing Métro - Castres	45:25

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