Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Cheetahs		Ulster

	1	X	2
	5	34	1.17
	5.4	30	1.15
	5.54	29.36	1.16
	5.5	34	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↓ (5.43)	31.84 ↑ (28.59)	1.15 ↓ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheetahs
17.2%

Draw
2.9%

Ulster
79.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

3.2%

79.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheetahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cheetahs - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -12.5 - Ulster (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ulster will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulster (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:34

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Manyama M.	1. Crean S.
2. van der Westhuizen L. (C)	2. Herring R. (C)
3. Coetzee A.	3. Wilson S.
4. Wegner C.	4. Sheridan H.
5. Thomas C.	5. Hopes J.
6. Maartens D.	6. McCann D.
7. Vumazonke S.	7. Reffell S.
8. van der Merwe G.	8. McLoughlin L.
9. van Vuren M.	9. Doak N.
10. van der Walt J.	10. Flannery J.
11. Nkabinde P.	11. Ward Z.
12. du Plessis Z.	12. Postlethwaite J.
13. Ackermann D.	13. Hume J.
14. Hartzenberg M.	14. Kok W.
15. Verity-Amm J.	15. McNamara B.
Substitutes
16. Janse van Rensburg M.	16. McCormick J.
17. Dawson C.	17. O’Sullivan E.
18. Dos Reis F.	18. O'Connor B.
19. Van Vuren P.	19. Dalton M.
20. Van der Merwe A.	20. Rea M.
21. Volschenk N.	21. Shanahan D.
22. Kruger R.	22. Humphreys J.
23. Annies M.	23. Carson B.

Preview

Ulster has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ulster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ulster is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cheetahs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 131:127. (average 32.8:31.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheetahs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 102:65. (average 51:32.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheetahs Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Cheetahs - Stade Français	22:45 ✺
07.12.25	Exeter Chiefs - Cheetahs	42:12 ✺
Currie Cup
13.09.25	Griquas - Cheetahs	25:5 ✺
06.09.25	Blue Bulls - Cheetahs	35:31 ✺
29.08.25	Cheetahs - Griquas	10:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.01.26	Ulster - Munster	28:3 ✺
27.12.25	Connacht - Ulster	24:29 ✺
19.12.25	Leinster - Ulster	24:20 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Cardiff Rugby - Ulster	29:26 ✺
05.12.25	Ulster - Racing Métro	61:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
22.02.20	Ulster - Cheetahs	20:10
05.10.19	Cheetahs - Ulster	63:26
21.09.18	Cheetahs - Ulster	39:39
01.09.17	Ulster - Cheetahs	42:19

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