Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 7

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Leinster		Ulster

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.24	29	4
	1.24	28.21	4.27	Watch
	1.25	26	4
	1.21	50	4.47
	1.28	26	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.11)	30.87 ↑ (25.91)	4.05 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leinster
74.1%

Draw
3%

Ulster
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.6%

3.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leinster's form might have worsened.

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulster's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leinster - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 17)
2nd Half (17 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 3.

In this match, Leinster is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 568:341. (average 28.4:17.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 408:224. (average 31.4:17.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leinster Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
12.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	15:23 ✺
06.12.25	Leinster - Harlequins	52:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster	10:24 ✺
25.10.25	Leinster - Zebre	50:26 ✺
18.10.25	Leinster - Munster	14:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL
- Ulster Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Cardiff Rugby - Ulster	29:26 ✺
05.12.25	Ulster - Racing Métro	61:7 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Ulster - Benetton Treviso	47:13 ✺
25.10.25	Lions - Ulster	49:31 ✺
18.10.25	Sharks - Ulster	26:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
19.04.25	Leinster - Ulster	41:17
29.11.24	Ulster - Leinster	20:27
08.06.24	Leinster - Ulster	43:20
18.05.24	Ulster - Leinster	23:21
01.01.24	Leinster - Ulster	21:22
European Rugby Champions Cup
01.04.23	Leinster - Ulster	30:15
United Rugby Championship
03.12.22	Leinster - Ulster	38:22

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