Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 3

Date: 13 January 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Clermont		Leicester Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.46	23	2.8
	1.48	22	2.8
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.52	27	2.63	Watch
	1.46	21	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.73)	22.5 ↑ (19.6)	2.78 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
62.8%

Draw
4.1%

Leicester Tigers
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

4.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

4.9%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clermont's performance.

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clermont that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Clermont - Leicester Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:21

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Clermont will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Clermont to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 65-95.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
07.01.23	Clermont - Perpignan	31:20 ✺
01.01.23	Clermont - Toulouse	13:32 ✺
23.12.22	Brive - Clermont	20:16 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Leicester Tigers - Clermont	23:16 ✺
10.12.22	Clermont - Stormers	24:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW
- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby
07.01.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	45:26 ✺
30.12.22	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	40:5 ✺
24.12.22	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	28:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Leicester Tigers - Clermont	23:16 ✺
11.12.22	Ospreys - Leicester Tigers	17:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Leicester Tigers - Clermont	23:16
16.04.22	Leicester Tigers - Clermont	27:17
10.04.22	Clermont - Leicester Tigers	10:29
Heineken Cup
05.04.14	Clermont - Leicester Tigers	22:16

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