Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Ospreys		Leicester Tigers

	1	X	2
	2.3	21	1.67
	2.2	23	1.67
	2.48	23	1.57
	2.31	21	1.66
	2.2	19	1.73
	2.3	24	1.67	Watch
	2.31	21	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (4.01)	21.71 ↑ (21)	1.66 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospreys
40.1%

Draw
4.2%

Leicester Tigers
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

4.4%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ospreys's performance.

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ospreys - Leicester Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:25

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Preview

Ospreys has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leicester Tigers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ospreys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leicester Tigers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 53-93.

Including matches at home between the teams Ospreys won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ospreys Premiership Select
United Rugby Championship
02.12.22	Sharks - Ospreys	25:10 ✺
26.11.22	Blue Bulls - Ospreys	43:26 ✺
29.10.22	Ospreys - Connacht	19:22 ✺
23.10.22	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ospreys	32:25 ✺
14.10.22	Ospreys - Stormers	16:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby
03.12.22	Bristol Rugby - Leicester Tigers	26:26 ✺
27.11.22	Leicester Tigers - London Irish	33:31 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.22	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	8:45 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
11.11.22	Bath - Leicester Tigers	19:18 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.10.22	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

LV= Cup
08.11.13	Leicester Tigers - Ospreys	39:16
Heineken Cup
13.01.13	Ospreys - Leicester Tigers	15:15
21.10.12	Leicester Tigers - Ospreys	39:22

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