Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: McLean Park (Napier) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	04:10	Disney+
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
Brazil	04:10	Disney+
Chile	03:10	Disney+
Colombia	02:10	Disney+
Mexico	01:10	Disney+
Peru	02:10	Disney+
Uruguay	04:10	Disney+
Venezuela	03:10	Disney+
International	07:10	RugbyPass TV


	Hawkes Bay		Tasman

	1	X	2
	1.34	27	3.25
	1.36	22.64	3.38	Watch
	1.31	24.51	3
	1.38	21	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.67)	23.79 ↓ (24.83)	3.23 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay
67.9%

Draw
3.8%

Tasman
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

3.8%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay's performance.

Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tasman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hawkes Bay - Tasman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 5)
2nd Half (17 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 2.

Hawkes Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hawkes Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 216:288. (average 21.6:28.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 167:180. (average 27.8:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
02.08.26	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	33:52 ✺
18.10.25	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	43:19 ✺
11.10.25	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	26:12 ✺
04.10.25	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	10:38 ✺
25.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	45:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
31.07.26	Tasman - North Harbour	31:29 ✺
10.10.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	27:7 ✺
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49 ✺
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55 ✺
20.09.25	Tasman - Waikato	24:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
07.09.24	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	24:25
30.09.22	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	25:17
12.11.21	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	27:33
08.10.21	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	34:22
11.10.19	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	28:47
11.10.18	Tasman - Hawkes Bay	29:0
24.09.16	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	29:36

Hawkes Bay - Tasman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide