Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Navigation Homes Stadium (Pukekohe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:05	Stan Sport
Brazil	22:05	Disney+
Mexico	19:05	Disney+
New Zealand	14:05	Sky Sport 2
United Kingdom	02:05	FloSports app


	Counties Manukau		Manawatu

	1	X	2
	1.24	24	4.1
	1.2	30	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.28)	27 ↑ (23)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Counties Manukau
75.1%

Draw
3.4%

Manawatu
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Counties Manukau - Manawatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 10)
2nd Half (20 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Manawatu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Counties Manukau is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 312:293. (average 31.2:29.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Counties Manukau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 159:117. (average 39.8:29.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Counties Manukau
New Zealand NPC
19.09.25	Counties Manukau - Auckland	49:28 ✺
14.09.25	Southland - Counties Manukau	10:64 ✺
04.09.25	Counties Manukau - North Harbour	22:19 ✺
29.08.25	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	22:43 ✺
23.08.25	Otago - Counties Manukau	33:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLL
- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
21.09.25	Manawatu - Bay of Plenty	19:55 ✺
13.09.25	Auckland - Manawatu	52:29 ✺
05.09.25	Manawatu - Waikato	36:26 ✺
29.08.25	Canterbury - Manawatu	53:14 ✺
24.08.25	Manawatu - Wellington	38:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
04.10.24	Manawatu - Counties Manukau	26:45
22.09.23	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	46:19
10.09.22	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	41:33
06.08.21	Manawatu - Counties Manukau	39:21
02.10.20	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	36:30
12.10.19	Manawatu - Counties Manukau	33:17
05.10.17	Manawatu - Counties Manukau	24:29

Counties Manukau - Manawatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide