Match Info

ENGLAND: Premiership Rugby Cup

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Trailfinders Sports Ground (London)


	Ealing Trailfinders		Saracens

	1	X	2
	1.57	26	2.3
	1.68	35	2.19
	2.07	23.88	1.83
	2	20	1.83
	1.68	35	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.01)	27.98 ↑ (22)	2.07 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ealing Trailfinders
51.7%

Draw
3.3%

Saracens
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

4.2%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ealing Trailfinders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ealing Trailfinders's performance.

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ealing Trailfinders - Saracens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whyte K.	1. Brantingham P.
2. Willemse M.	2. Pifeleti K.
3. Akinbiyi A.	3. Balmain F.
4. Bridge D.	4. Wilson H.
5. Cutmore D.	5. Sodeke O.
6. Farrar R.	6. Eke M.
7. Reid J.	7. Knight T.
8. Montgomery W.	8. Michelow N.
9. Hampson C.	9. Bracken C.
10. Jones D.	10. Swiel T.
11. Collins T.	11. Jackson-Richards B.
12. Holgate J.	12. Hallett J.
13. Bird-Tulloch R.	13. Spink S.
14. Kernohan A.	14. Hall A.
15. Wilson T.	15. Parton T.
Substitutes
16. Cornish M.	16. Hadfield J.
17. Zigiriadis L.	17. Crean S.
18. Davis G.	18. Hoskins O.
19. Lonsdale S.	19. Sylvester K.
20. Smid R.	20. Moore-Aiono I.
21. Williams L.	21. Braley C.
22. Willis C.	22. Clark M.
23. Moore F.	23. Bracken J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 5)
1', Farrar R. (Try),
1', Jones D. (Conversion Goal),
4', Bird-Tulloch R. (Try),
27', Bird-Tulloch R. (Try),
32', (Penalty Try),
39', Jackson-Richards B. (Try),
2nd Half (5 - 14)
44', Kernohan A. (Try),
52', Wilson H. (Try),
52', Swiel T. (Conversion Goal),
78', Jackson-Richards B. (Try),
79', Swiel T. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Saracens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ealing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ealing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:165 (average 11.7:55).

Including matches at home between the teams Ealing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:60

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ealing Trailfinders
English Championship Rugby
25.05.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Bedford Blues	59:12 ✺
04.05.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Ampthill	57:14 ✺
02.03.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Nottingham RFC	52:26
English Premiership Rugby Cup
18.02.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Leicester Tigers	21:29 ✺
English Championship Rugby
13.01.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Caldy	54:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLW
- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
26.10.24	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	29:32 ✺
19.10.24	Bristol Rugby - Saracens	35:37 ✺
13.10.24	Harlequins - Saracens	17:10 ✺
06.10.24	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	29:14 ✺
28.09.24	Saracens - Sale Sharks	45:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Championship Rugby
20.06.21	Saracens - Ealing Trailfinders	57:15
13.06.21	Ealing Trailfinders - Saracens	0:60
25.04.21	Saracens - Ealing Trailfinders	48:20

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