The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saracens 60.2%
Draw 4.6%
Leicester Tigers 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
4.1%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
86.3%
5.3%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saracens's form might have worsened.
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+26.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saracens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Saracens - Leicester Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:30
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carre R.
1. Smith N.
2. George J.
2. Blamire J.
3. Street M.
3. Heyes J.
4. Itoje M.
4. Henderson C.
5. Tizard H.
5. Chessum O.
6. McFarland T.
6. Liebenberg H.
7. Earl B.
7. Moro J.
8. Willis T.
8. Cracknell O.
9. Bracken C.
9. van Poortvliet J.
10. Burke F.
10. Searle B.
11. Segun R.
11. Hassell-Collins O.
12. Hartley O.
12. Bailey O.
13. Tompkins N.
13. Perese I.
14. Caluori N.
14. Hamer-Webb G.
15. Malins M.
15. Steward F.
Substitutes
16. Dan T.
16. Clare C.
17. Mawi E.
17. van der Flier A.
18. Riccioni M.
18. Hurd W.
19. Isiekwe N.
19. Martin G.
20. Michelow N.
20. Williams S.
21. van Zyl I.
21. Whiteley T.
22. Farrell O.
22. Wand W.
23. Cinti L.
23. Radwan A.
Coaches
. McCall M.
. Parling G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 12)
3', Hartley O. (Try),
4', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
10', Willis T. ↓, Michelow N. ↑,
10', Steward F. (Try),
11', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
14', Perese I. 🟨,
20', Caluori N. (Try),
21', Burke F. (Missed Conversion),
31', Hassell-Collins O. (Try),
32', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (7 - 3)
43', Carre R. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
48', Mawi E. (Try),
49', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
49', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
49', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
49', Perese I. ↓, Wand W. ↑,
49', Chessum O. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
49', Hamer-Webb G. ↓, Radwan A. ↑,
51', Street M. ↓, Riccioni M. ↑,
57', Burke F. ↓, Farrell O. ↑,
57', George J. ↓, Dan T. ↑,
59', Caluori N. 🟨,
61', Henderson C. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
63', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
64', Tizard H. ↓, Isiekwe N. ↑,
66', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
69', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Whiteley T. ↑,
73', Hartley O. ↓, Cinti L. ↑,
78', Bracken C. ↓, van Zyl I. ↑,
79', Cinti L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 1.
Recent form of Saracens has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Leicester Tigers is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Saracens has had a series of away games.
Saracens might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 482:440. (average 24.1:22).
Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 286:242. (average 28.6:24.2).
Argentina
Australia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Czech-republic
Mexico
Peru
Slovakia
United-kingdom
Uruguay
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Carre R. 
George J. 
Henderson C. 
McFarland T. 
Liebenberg H. 
Moro J. 
Perese I. 
Mawi E. 
Riccioni M. 
McCall M. 
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