Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport


	Provence Rugby		Biarritz

	1	X	2
	1.03	51	12
	1.08	26	7
	1.07	40	7.8
				Watch
	1.06	36	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.14)	38.25 ↑ (24)	9.08 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
87.4%

Draw
2.4%

Biarritz
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

3.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provence Rugby's performance.

Biarritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Biarritz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Provence Rugby - Biarritz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Biarritz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 3)
2nd Half (21 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 4.

Provence Rugby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Provence Rugby is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 285:262. (average 21.9:20.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence Rugby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 173:92. (average 28.8:15.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
05.09.25	Provence Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	30:33 ✺
29.08.25	SA XV Charente - Provence Rugby	28:25 ✺
29.05.25	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	38:17 ✺
22.05.25	Provence Rugby - SA XV Charente	49:22 ✺
16.05.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby	47:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Biarritz Olympique
French Pro D2
04.09.25	Colomiers - Biarritz	44:10 ✺
29.08.25	Biarritz - Béziers	55:36 ✺
16.05.25	Biarritz - Colomiers	35:27 ✺
09.05.25	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	46:14 ✺
24.04.25	Biarritz - Béziers	33:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
09.05.25	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	46:14
15.11.24	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	25:0
10.05.24	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	16:27
15.12.23	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	29:21
24.02.23	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	37:17
25.11.22	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	20:8
15.02.21	Biarritz - Provence Rugby	29:24

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