Match Info

NPC - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: McLean Park (Napier) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
Mexico	01:10	Disney+
New Zealand	19:10	Sky Sport 1
International	07:10	RugbyPass TV


	Hawkes Bay		Manawatu

	1	X	2
	1.03	46	15.5
	1.02	50	11
	1.01	38.94	14.55	Watch
	1.01	35	7.85
	1.02	50	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)	43.99 ↑ (37.09)	13.38 ↑ (12.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay
91%

Draw
2.1%

Manawatu
6.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

90.1%

2.5%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hawkes Bay - Manawatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 48:20

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 12)
2nd Half (42 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 5.

In this match, Hawkes Bay is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 484:284. (average 34.6:20.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 230:85. (average 46:17).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
15.08.26	Auckland - Hawkes Bay	31:44 ✺
08.08.26	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	50:19 ✺
02.08.26	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	33:52 ✺
18.10.25	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	43:19 ✺
11.10.25	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	26:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
15.08.26	Manawatu - Otago	27:29 ✺
09.08.26	Manawatu - Southland	36:35 ✺
01.08.26	Northland - Manawatu	40:14 ✺
04.10.25	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	10:38 ✺
27.09.25	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	48:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
04.10.25	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	10:38
01.09.24	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	26:38
15.09.23	Hawkes Bay - Manawatu	57:7
21.08.22	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	17:43
30.10.21	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	31:40
23.10.20	Hawkes Bay - Manawatu	47:12
11.08.19	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	13:31

Hawkes Bay - Manawatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide