Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 9

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Highlanders		Brumbies

	1	X	2
	2.1	19	1.8
	2.15	23	1.73
	2.17	20.12	1.77	Watch
	2.3	21	1.67
	2.14	21	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.82)	20.82 ↑ (18.64)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Highlanders
42.6%

Draw
4.4%

Brumbies
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

4.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Highlanders's form might have worsened.

Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brumbies's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Highlanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brumbies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Highlanders - Brumbies Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Highlanders will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Brumbies will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Groot E.	1. Slipper J.
2. Taylor J.	2. Pollard B.
3. Taavao A.	3. Alaalatoa A.
4. Haig O.	4. Frost N.
5. Dunshea M.	5. Shaw L.
6. Howden T.	6. Valetini R.
7. Lasaqa V.	7. Scott R.
8. Broughton N.	8. Cale C.
9. Shearer N.	9. Lonergan R. (C)
10. Millar C.	10. Meredith D.
11. Nareki J.	11. Toole C.
12. Tavatavanawai T. (C)	12. Feliuai D.
13. Lowe J.	13. Pritchard K.
14. Tangitau C.	14. Sapsford O.
15. Robinson T.	15. Muirhead A.
Substitutes
16. Bell H.	16. Lonergan L.
17. Bartlett J.	17. Schoupp B.
18. Ma'u S.	18. Breen D.
19. Renton H.	19. MacPherson T.
20. Withy S.	20. Reimer L.
21. Lennox A.	21. Thorn K.
22. Pasitoa R.	22. Edmed T.
23. Tele'a T.	23. Creighton H.
Coaches
. Joseph J.	. Larkham S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 7)
22', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
26', Cale C. ↓, MacPherson T. ↑,
34', Lonergan R. (Try),
35', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 7)
41', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Breen D. ↑,
48', Slipper J. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
55', Pollard B. ↓, Lonergan L. ↑,
56', Shearer N. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
56', Haig O. ↓, Withy S. ↑,
57', Broughton N. ↓, Renton H. ↑,
62', Nareki J. (Try),
63', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
63', Scott R. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
63', Meredith D. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
67', Taavao A. ↓, Ma'u S. ↑,
67', de Groot E. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
67', Tavatavanawai T. ↓, Tele'a T. ↑,
69', Taylor J. ↓, Bell H. ↑,
71', Bell H. 🟨,
71', Frost N. ↓, Scott R. ↑,
73', Reimer L. (Try),
74', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Brumbies has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 305:313. (average 21.8:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 123:112. (average 24.6:22.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Highlanders Rugby
Super Rugby
27.03.26	Moana Pasifika - Highlanders	19:39 ✺
20.03.26	Highlanders - Hurricanes	7:50 ✺
14.03.26	Crusaders - Highlanders	29:18 ✺
06.03.26	Highlanders - Western Force	39:31 ✺
27.02.26	Reds - Highlanders	31:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Brumbies Rugby
Super Rugby
27.03.26	Brumbies - Waratahs	28:30 ✺
20.03.26	Brumbies - Chiefs	33:24 ✺
13.03.26	Fijian Drua - Brumbies	42:27 ✺
07.03.26	Brumbies - Reds	31:34 ✺
28.02.26	Brumbies - Blues	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
28.03.25	Brumbies - Highlanders	34:27
08.06.24	Brumbies - Highlanders	32:16
15.03.24	Highlanders - Brumbies	21:27
14.05.23	Brumbies - Highlanders	48:32
24.04.22	Highlanders - Brumbies	17:28
11.06.21	Brumbies - Highlanders	12:33
15.02.20	Brumbies - Highlanders	22:23

Highlanders - Brumbies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide