Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 7

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: North Harbour Stadium (Auckland)


	Moana Pasifika		Highlanders

	1	X	2
	4.75	34	1.18
	5.2	35	1.15
	5.45	28.80	1.16	Watch
	5	34	1.17
	4.99	31	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↓ (9.11)	32.56 ↑ (32.43)	1.17 ↑ (1.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moana Pasifika
18.2%

Draw
2.8%

Highlanders
79%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.2%

2.9%

86.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moana Pasifika's performance.

Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Highlanders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Moana Pasifika - Highlanders Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5 - Moana Pasifika (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moana Pasifika (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:37

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pole A.	1. de Groot E.
2. Sanerivi M.	2. Taylor J.
3. Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F.	3. Taavao A.
4. Poloniati V.	4. Haig O.
5. Craig A.	5. Lavanini T.
6. Faiilagi M.	6. Howden T.
7. Jones N.	7. Lasaqa V.
8. Ropeti D.	8. Renton H.
9. Lam J.	9. Shearer N.
10. Garden-Bachop J.	10. Pasitoa R.
11. Vaihu G.	11. Nareki J.
12. Lalomilo L.	12. Tele'a T.
13. Latu T.	13. Lowe J.
14. Alaimalo S.	14. Tangitau C.
15. Havili W.	15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
Substitutes
16. Moli S.	16. Bell H.
17. Hala M.	17. Lienert-Brown D.
18. Latu P.	18. Wingham R.
19. Aho A.	19. Stodart W.
20. Tauelangi O.	20. Withy S.
21. Nginingini S.	21. Lennox A.
22. Pellegrini P.	22. Knewstubb A.
23. Ofa T.	23. Tavatavanawai T.
Coaches
. Umaga T.	. Joseph J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 27)
2', Pasitoa R. (Missed Penalty),
8', Tangitau C. (Try),
8', Pasitoa R. (Missed Conversion),
12', Sanerivi M. ↓, Moli S. ↑,
21', Pasitoa R. (Penalty Goal),
25', Moli S. ↓, Sanerivi M. ↑,
25', Lalomilo L. ↓, Ofa T. ↑,
28', Tangitau C. (Try),
29', Pasitoa R. (Conversion Goal),
34', Nareki J. (Try),
35', Pasitoa R. (Conversion Goal),
39', Taylor J. (Try),
39', Pasitoa R. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (19 - 12)
41', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. ↓, Knewstubb A. ↑,
41', Shearer N. (Try),
42', Pasitoa R. (Missed Conversion),
42', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. ↓, Latu P. ↑,
42', Pole A. ↓, Hala M. ↑,
44', Jones N. (Try),
44', Lam J. ↓, Nginingini S. ↑,
45', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
46', Havili W. 🟨,
51', Vaihu G. 🟨,
52', Lasaqa V. (Try),
52', Pasitoa R. (Conversion Goal),
53', Sanerivi M. (Try),
54', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
54', Faiilagi M. ↓, Tauelangi O. ↑,
54', Renton H. ↓, Broughton N. ↑,
54', Lasaqa V. ↓, Withy S. ↑,
58', Craig A. (Try),
59', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
59', Bartlett J. ↓, Lienert-Brown D. ↑,
59', Haig O. ↓, Stodart W. ↑,
59', Taavao A. ↓, Wingham R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1.

Moana Pasifika is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Highlanders is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Highlanders is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 135:205. (average 22.5:34.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 63:104. (average 21:34.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moana Pasifika
Super Rugby
21.03.26	Moana Pasifika - Crusaders	21:50 ✺
14.03.26	Blues - Moana Pasifika	43:7 ✺
06.03.26	Chiefs - Moana Pasifika	57:24 ✺
27.02.26	Moana Pasifika - Western Force	19:35 ✺
20.02.26	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	52:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Highlanders Rugby
Super Rugby
20.03.26	Highlanders - Hurricanes	7:50 ✺
14.03.26	Crusaders - Highlanders	29:18 ✺
06.03.26	Highlanders - Western Force	39:31 ✺
27.02.26	Reds - Highlanders	31:14 ✺
21.02.26	Highlanders - Chiefs	23:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
03.05.25	Highlanders - Moana Pasifika	29:34
28.02.25	Moana Pasifika - Highlanders	29:31
03.05.24	Moana Pasifika - Highlanders	17:28
24.02.24	Highlanders - Moana Pasifika	35:21
31.03.23	Moana Pasifika - Highlanders	17:45
08.04.22	Highlanders - Moana Pasifika	37:17

Moana Pasifika - Highlanders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide