Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 6

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Highlanders		Hurricanes

	1	X	2
	3.1	23	1.4
	3.15	24	1.37
	3.38	22.64	1.36	Watch
	3.25	23	1.36
	3.04	21	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.75)	22.73 ↑ (21)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Highlanders
29%

Draw
4.1%

Hurricanes
66.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

4.4%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hurricanes's recent form is better than expected.

Highlanders - Hurricanes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5 - Hurricanes (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurricanes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Groot E.	1. Numia X.
2. Taylor J.	2. Aumua A.
3. Taavao A.	3. Tosi P.
4. Haig O.	4. Delany C.
5. Howden T.	5. Dearns W.
6. Withy S.	6. Flanders D.
7. Casey L.	7. Lakai P.
8. Renton H.	8. Iose B.
9. Fakatava F.	9. Roigard C.
10. Pasitoa R.	10. Love R.
11. Nareki J.	11. Fineanganofo F.
12. Tavatavanawai T.	12. Barrett J.
13. Lowe J.	13. Proctor B.
14. Tangitau C.	14. Moorby J.
15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.	15. Harkin C.
Substitutes
16. Vikena S.	16. Bason V.
17. Bartlett J.	17. Lauaki S.
18. Kautai S.	18. Mafile'o T.
19. Cribb T.	19. Plummer H.
20. Lasaqa V.	20. Shields B.
21. Lennox A.	21. Kirifi D.
22. Knewstubb A.	22. Enari E.
23. Tele'a T.	23. Sullivan B.
Coaches
. Joseph J.	. Laidlaw C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 19)
6', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. (Try),
7', Pasitoa R. (Conversion Goal),
14', Roigard C. (Try),
15', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
21', Roigard C. (Try),
21', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
34', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
35', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (0 - 31)
49', Iose B. ↓, Kirifi D. ↑,
49', Tosi P. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
50', Flanders D. (Try),
51', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
51', Casey L. ↓, Lasaqa V. ↑,
51', Fakatava F. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
52', Flanders D. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
54', Numia X. 🟨,
60', Lasaqa V. 🟨,
62', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
63', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
63', Taavao A. ↓, Kautai S. ↑,
63', Haig O. ↓, Cribb T. ↑,
63', de Groot E. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
63', Pasitoa R. ↓, Knewstubb A. ↑,
64', Proctor B. ↓, Sullivan B. ↑,
64', Numia X. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
64', Delany C. ↓, Plummer H. ↑,
66', Sullivan B. (Try),
67', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
67', Taylor J. ↓, Vikena S. ↑,
67', Aumua A. ↓, Bason V. ↑,
68', Lowe J. ↓, Tele'a T. ↑,
68', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
70', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
71', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
80', Lakai P. (Try),
80+1', Love R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 0.

Highlanders has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Hurricanes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 388:566. (average 19.4:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 197:230. (average 21.9:25.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Highlanders Rugby
Super Rugby
14.03.26	Crusaders - Highlanders	29:18 ✺
06.03.26	Highlanders - Western Force	39:31 ✺
27.02.26	Reds - Highlanders	31:14 ✺
21.02.26	Highlanders - Chiefs	23:26 ✺
13.02.26	Highlanders - Crusaders	25:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW
- Hurricanes Rugby
Super Rugby
13.03.26	Hurricanes - Western Force	31:23 ✺
06.03.26	Waratahs - Hurricanes	19:59 ✺
27.02.26	Fijian Drua - Hurricanes	25:20 ✺
20.02.26	Hurricanes - Moana Pasifika	52:10 ✺
07.06.25	Brumbies - Hurricanes	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
16.05.25	Hurricanes - Highlanders	24:20
14.03.25	Highlanders - Hurricanes	18:20
01.06.24	Hurricanes - Highlanders	41:14
30.03.24	Highlanders - Hurricanes	12:47
08.04.23	Highlanders - Hurricanes	14:29
16.04.22	Highlanders - Hurricanes	21:22
05.03.22	Hurricanes - Highlanders	21:14

Highlanders - Hurricanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide