Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 4Date: 6 March 2026, FridayLocation: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin)Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+ |
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Highlanders |
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Western Force |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.29 |
26 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.26 |
28 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.28 |
25.7 |
3.92 |
Watch |
 |
1.29 |
26 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.26 |
23 |
4.2 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.33) |
25.74 ↑ (20.75) |
3.9 ↑ (3.46) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Highlanders 72.7% | Draw 3.6% | Western Force 23.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Highlanders - Western Force Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. de Groot E.
| 1. Robertson T.
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2. Taylor J.
| 2. Paenga-Amosa B.
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3. Taavao A.
| 3. Johnson-Holmes H.
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4. Haig O.
| 4. Williams J. (C)
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5. Dunshea M.
| 5. Swain D.
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6. Howden T.
| 6. Champion de Crespigny R.
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7. Lasaqa V.
| 7. Tizzano C.
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8. Broughton N.
| 8. Ekuasi V.
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9. Fakatava F.
| 9. Hastie N.
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10. Millar C.
| 10. Donaldson B.
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11. Nareki J.
| 11. Bridge G.
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12. Tavatavanawai T. (C)
| 12. Stewart H.
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13. Lowe J.
| 13. Palu D.
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14. Tangitau C.
| 14. Lancaster D.
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15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
| 15. Grealy M.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Vikena S.
| 16. Dolly N.
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17. Lienert-Brown D.
| 17. Faagase S.
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18. Kautai S.
| 18. Epenisa M.
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19. Stodart W.
| 19. Molina F.
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20. Withy S.
| 20. Harris W.
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21. Lennox A.
| 21. Robertson H.
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22. Pasitoa R.
| 22. Burey M.
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23. Tele'a T.
| 23. Beale K.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Joseph J.
| . Cron S.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 21)
- 10', Lasaqa V. (Try),
- 11', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
- 21', Ekuasi V. (Try),
- 23', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Millar C. (Missed Penalty),
- 28', Lowe J. (Try),
- 29', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Williams J. (Try),
- 37', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Stewart H. (Try),
- 40+1', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 10)
- 47', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Dolly N. ↑,
- 47', Robertson T. ↓, Faagase S. ↑,
- 52', Palu D. ↓, Beale K. ↑,
- 54', Lowe J. (Try),
- 55', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Epenisa M. ↑,
- 55', Swain D. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
- 55', Broughton N. ↓, Withy S. ↑,
- 58', Tangitau C. (Try),
- 59', Millar C. (Missed Conversion),
- 59', Hastie N. ↓, Robertson H. ↑,
- 64', Donaldson B. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
- 66', de Groot E. ↓, Lienert-Brown D. ↑,
- 66', Tizzano C. (Try),
- 67', Burey M. (Missed Conversion),
- 68', Bridge G. (Try),
- 68', Haig O. ↓, Stodart W. ↑,
- 69', Taavao A. ↓, Kautai S. ↑,
- 69', Burey M. (Missed Conversion),
- 70', Tavatavanawai T. ↓, Tele'a T. ↑,
- 70', Tangitau C. (Try),
- 70', Taylor J. ↓, Vikena S. ↑,
- 71', Pasitoa R. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Ekuasi V. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
- 75', Fakatava F. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
- 75', Millar C. ↓, Pasitoa R. ↑,
- 77', Pasitoa R. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 3. In this match, Highlanders is the team to beat.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 330:204. (average 30:18.5).Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 172:102. (average 34.4:20.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 05.04.25 | Western Force - Highlanders | 29:20 | | 27.04.24 | Highlanders - Western Force | 7:6 | | 22.04.23 | Western Force - Highlanders | 30:17 | | 18.03.23 | Highlanders - Western Force | 43:35 | | 13.05.22 | Highlanders - Western Force | 61:10 | | 21.05.21 | Western Force - Highlanders | 15:25 | | 20.05.17 | Western Force - Highlanders | 6:55 |
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