Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 2Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Highlanders |
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Chiefs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.1 |
21 |
1.4 |
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 |
3 |
25 |
1.39 |
|
 |
3.18 |
22.78 |
1.4 |
Watch |
 |
3 |
23 |
1.4 |
|
 |
3.33 |
21 |
1.37 |
Watch |
 |
3.4 |
31 |
1.34 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↓ (3.8) |
23.96 ↑ (22.25) |
1.38 ↑ (1.29) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Highlanders 29.2% | Draw 3.9% | Chiefs 66.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Highlanders - Chiefs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Chiefs will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:31 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. de Groot E.
| 1. Proffit J.
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2. Taylor J.
| 2. Taukei'aho S.
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3. Wingham R.
| 3. Dyer G.
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4. Haig O.
| 4. Lord J.
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5. Dunshea M.
| 5. Vaa'i T.
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6. Howden T.
| 6. Boshier K.
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7. Withy S.
| 7. Brown J.
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8. Casey L.
| 8. Jacobson L.
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9. Fakatava F.
| 9. Roe X.
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10. Millar C.
| 10. Jacomb J.
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11. Nareki J.
| 11. Carter L.
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12. Tavatavanawai T.
| 12. Tupaea Q.
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13. Lowe J.
| 13. Rona D.
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14. Tangitau C.
| 14. Taumoefolau K.
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15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
| 15. Nanai-Seturo E.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Bell H.
| 16. Thompson T.
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17. Bartlett J.
| 17. Kumeroa B.
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18. Kautai S.
| 18. O’Neill R.
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19. Stodart W.
| 19. Ah Kuoi N.
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20. Lasaqa V.
| 20. Finau S.
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21. Lennox A.
| 21. Tahuriorangi T.
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22. Pasitoa R.
| 22. Cook-Savage T.
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23. Tele'a T.
| 23. Narawa E.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Joseph J.
| . McMillan C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 14)
- 3', Nareki J. (Try),
- 4', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
- 9', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Brown J. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
- 33', Carter L. (Try),
- 34', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (16 - 12)
- 41', Casey L. ↓, Lasaqa V. ↑,
- 42', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
- 45', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Nareki J. 🟨,
- 55', Fakatava F. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
- 58', Proffit J. ↓, Kumeroa B. ↑,
- 58', de Groot E. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
- 58', Taylor J. ↓, Bell H. ↑,
- 58', Tupaea Q. ↓, Narawa E. ↑,
- 62', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
- 63', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Lord J. ↓, Ah Kuoi N. ↑,
- 63', Taukei'aho S. ↓, Thompson T. ↑,
- 63', Haig O. ↓, Stodart W. ↑,
- 63', Tavatavanawai T. ↓, Tele'a T. ↑,
- 66', Roe X. ↓, Tahuriorangi T. ↑,
- 66', Millar C. ↓, Pasitoa R. ↑,
- 66', Nanai-Seturo E. ↓, Cook-Savage T. ↑,
- 68', Boshier K. (Try),
- 70', Jacomb J. (Missed Conversion),
- 75', Tangitau C. (Try),
- 76', Pasitoa R. (Missed Conversion),
- 80+1', O’Neill R. 🟨,
- 80+3', Lasaqa V. (Try),
- 80+4', Pasitoa R. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 0.Highlanders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Chiefs is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 480:550. (average 24:27.5).Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 256:284. (average 25.6:28.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 30.05.25 | Highlanders - Chiefs | 24:41 | | 19.04.25 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 46:10 | | 22.03.24 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 28:21 | | 05.05.23 | Highlanders - Chiefs | 28:52 | | 10.03.23 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 28:7 | | 18.02.22 | Chiefs - Highlanders | 26:16 | | 10.04.21 | Highlanders - Chiefs | 23:26 OT |
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