Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 3Date: 27 February 2026, FridayLocation: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Moana Pasifika |
|
Western Force |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
21 |
2.63 |
|
 |
1.5 |
27 |
2.6 |
|
 |
1.89 |
22.36 |
1.97 |
Watch |
 |
1.5 |
23 |
2.63 |
|
 |
1.51 |
20 |
2.72 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.73) |
22.67 ↓ (24.79) |
2.51 ↑ (2.12) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moana Pasifika 58.8% | Draw 4.1% | Western Force 37.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moana Pasifika's performance.Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Force might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Moana Pasifika - Western Force Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:29 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Tuipulotu T.
| 1. Robertson T.
|
2. Sanerivi M.
| 2. Dolly N.
|
3. Apoua C.
| 3. Johnson-Holmes H.
|
4. Savage T.
| 4. Molina F.
|
5. Craig A.
| 5. Swain D.
|
6. Faiilagi M.
| 6. Williams J.
|
7. Paea S.
| 7. Tizzano C.
|
8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
| 8. Ekuasi V.
|
9. Taumateine J.
| 9. Hastie N.
|
10. Pellegrini P.
| 10. Donaldson B.
|
11. Alaimalo S.
| 11. Kuenzle B.
|
12. Laumape N.
| 12. Stewart H.
|
13. Lalomilo L.
| 13. Bridge G.
|
14. Ofa T.
| 14. Lancaster D.
|
15. Vaihu G.
| 15. Grealy M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Moli S.
| 16. Oviedo L.
|
17. Pole A.
| 17. Faagase S.
|
18. Faleiva L.
| 18. Epenisa M.
|
19. Tauelangi O.
| 19. Faifua L.
|
20. Afungia T.
| 20. Koteka K.
|
21. Matavao M.
| 21. Moyano A.
|
22. Garden-Bachop J.
| 22. Burey M.
|
23. Latu T.
| 23. Beale K.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Umaga T.
| . Cron S.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 21)
- 1', Donaldson B. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
- 3', Burey M. ↓, Donaldson B. ↑,
- 5', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 6', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Sanerivi M. (Try),
- 20', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Epenisa M. ↑,
- 32', Swain D. (Try),
- 33', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Paea S. ↓, Afungia T. ↑,
- 40', Bridge G. (Try),
- 40+1', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 14)
- 41', Afungia T. ↓, Paea S. ↑,
- 41', Epenisa M. ↓, Johnson-Holmes H. ↑,
- 48', Lalomilo L. ↓, Latu T. ↑,
- 48', Robertson T. ↓, Faagase S. ↑,
- 49', Hastie N. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
- 50', Molina F. ↓, Faifua L. ↑,
- 54', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Epenisa M. ↑,
- 54', Dolly N. ↓, Oviedo L. ↑,
- 56', Apoua C. ↓, Faleiva L. ↑,
- 56', Pellegrini P. ↓, Garden-Bachop J. ↑,
- 56', Pole A. ↓, Hala M. ↑,
- 61', Savage T. ↓, Tauelangi O. ↑,
- 61', Sanerivi M. ↓, Moli S. ↑,
- 61', Tizzano C. (Try),
- 62', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Lancaster D. ↓, Beale K. ↑,
- 66', Ekuasi V. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
- 68', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. ↓, Afungia T. ↑,
- 69', Oviedo L. (Try),
- 70', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Donaldson B. ↓, Burey M. ↑,
- 72', Taumateine J. ↓, Matavao M. ↑,
- 75', Matavao M. (Try),
- 76', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Craig A. (Try),
- 80', Garden-Bachop J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9) Moana Pasifika will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 112:128. (average 28:32).Including home match between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:48.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 15.02.25 | Western Force - Moana Pasifika | 45:44 | | 15.03.24 | Western Force - Moana Pasifika | 14:22 | | 11.03.23 | Western Force - Moana Pasifika | 21:18 | | 24.05.22 | Moana Pasifika - Western Force | 28:48 |
|