Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)


	Honda Heat		Shizuoka Blue Revs

	1	X	2
	2.03	23	1.81
	2.05	22.06	1.84
	2	21	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.75)	22.02 ↑ (19.56)	1.82 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
45.3%

Draw
4.2%

Shizuoka Blue Revs
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

4.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

4.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Honda Heat's form might have worsened.

Shizuoka Blue Revs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shizuoka Blue Revs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honda Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shizuoka Blue Revs than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shizuoka Blue Revs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Honda Heat - Shizuoka Blue Revs Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Honda Heat will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 21)
2nd Half (21 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 57:183. (average 14.3:45.8).

Including home match between the teams, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:62.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
14.02.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Honda Heat	44:34 ✺
06.02.26	Honda Heat - Toshiba Brave Lupus	44:38 ✺
23.01.26	Honda Heat - Urayasu D-Rocks	32:23 ✺
17.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	30:15 ✺
10.01.26	Honda Heat - Kubota Spears	21:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLL
- Shizuoka Blue Revs
Japan League One Rugby Union
14.02.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Kubota Spears	19:42 ✺
06.02.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Shizuoka Blue Revs	60:45 ✺
25.01.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Toyota Verblitz	43:19 ✺
16.01.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	47:36 ✺
10.01.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Shizuoka Blue Revs	37:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
01.03.25	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Honda Heat	44:14
06.04.24	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Honda Heat	43:14
06.01.24	Honda Heat - Shizuoka Blue Revs	13:62
15.09.18	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Honda Heat	34:16

Honda Heat - Shizuoka Blue Revs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide